Republican Donald Trump announced his victory in the United States presidential elections. He called the election results “a political victory unprecedented in American history.” Trump has promised that his reign will be a “golden era” in American history.
If we take into account that Trump’s political line differs in many aspects from that of the Democrats, we will witness many different changes and processes during the years of his government. But in this case, what can change for the world, as well as for the South Caucasus and especially for Azerbaijan, during the Trump presidency?
Oku.Az examined the issue before local and foreign experts.
political commentator Turab Rzayev He said the world will move in a different direction during the Trump administration.
“Because their views on the Russia-Ukraine war, China, Iran and other global issues are completely different. From this point of view, their time may be more comfortable for Russia, especially on the issue of the Ukraine war. Because Trump has promised to end the war by putting pressure on both Russia and Ukraine. But it will not be easy to do so. The American state is not governed by the decisions made by the president. However, we can see that the Russian-Ukrainian war will not be. intensified in any case.”
“On the other hand, the Trump administration will be more difficult for Iran and China, because Trump has always openly sided with Israel in the Iran-Israel conflict. From this point of view, we will see that Israel will receive support at a time when The conflict is intensifying. In addition, Trump is completely against any rapprochement with Tehran. On the other hand, during this period, relations with Arab countries will become somewhat more difficult, Trump will force them to spend more money and reach out. agreements with the United States. As usual, China will be declared an enemy. In addition to political pressures on China, we can also witness economic pressures that Trump believes that a large number of manufacturing companies should be expelled from China and relocated to the United States and China. “Economic growth must be prevented,” the commentator added.
According to him, relations with the European Union (EU) will be completely disrupted during this period:
“As Trump views the EU as an additional burden on the United States, he believes that the EU should pay its own military and other expenses, and the United States is not obliged to protect it.”
“During this period a certain moderation will be observed with respect to Turkey. It is true that, with the Pentagon being the main decision-making body in military matters, Trump will not be able to completely cut off support for the PYD terrorist organization, but can improve relations with Turkey and eliminate the arms embargo against Ankara Relations will normalize, because, unlike the Democrats, our relationship with the Republicans has been better, considering that the Republicans are closer to both the oil sector and arms sales. ., and that Azerbaijan’s main cooperation with the United States is related to military security, the fight against terrorism and the energy security of Europe “We can see that Baku’s relationship with the Republicans is always advancing. This policy will continue. In other words, we will see a policy completely opposite to that followed by the Democrats,” the analyst concluded.
Turkish historian, scientist and political commentator. Mehmet Perincek Considers that one of the important points of United States policy is the establishment of a multipolar world and the end of the unipolar world:
“A period has begun when the United States accepts the multipolar world process. Trump prefers to focus on its internal problems rather than ordering the world and spending American policy on global hegemony. Of course, it is impossible to completely master this strategy immediately ., but in the next period the United States will face reality, that is, it will begin to accept the multipolar world.”
“However, of course, the position of developing and oppressed countries is important here. The stronger the developing countries and countries suffering from US aggression are, the more unity they will provide internally, the Cooperation Organization Shanghai, an alternative to NATO in the international arena “If they unite in organizations such as the Organization of Turkish States, the process of acceptance of the multipolar world by the United States will be accelerated. But an approach like “Trump has arrived, the United States is no longer a source of danger,” this will reduce surveillance and this will cause Washington to continue attacking,” the expert emphasized.
According to him, the Global South and developing countries will have the opportunity to guarantee peace in the world when they strengthen their internal structures, are represented in international alliances, guarantee their national interests and regional development:
“On the other hand, all Americans no longer want the United States to play the role of “protector of the world”, they see that this is not possible. This should be a lesson for neoliberal globalist circles, not only for the United States, but for the whole world.”
Merahim Nasib
