Recently, the “next day” can come to the tragic war in gas, since Israel, the United States and large Arab countries discuss the conditions for the fact that officials hope to become a constant truce.
President Donald Trump announced a new negotiation party on Tuesday, when he published that “Israel agreed to the conditions necessary to complete the ceasefire within 60 days, during which we will work with all parties to put an end to the war.” Hamas had not yet agreed, but Arab officials in contact with the leaders of the movement told me that this could be agreed in the near future.
Israeli and Arab officials tell me that the gas agreement can open the door to a broader peace agreement. There is a hope that Avraam’s agreement ended in Trump in 2020, will include more countries in the region. This may include the normalization of Israeli relations with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the security agreement with the new Government of Syria.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will need a wider political base to achieve these ambitious goals, and in Israel in Israel the assumption is widespread that Netanyahu can soon accept the elections. He reached the peak of his updated popularity after Hamas’s attacks on October 7, 2023. His supporters expect that his party Lida will achieve great success, which can allow Netaneikh to abandon his right -wing allies in the coalition, who oppose any concessions on the Palestinian issue and form a new government from the right center.
The leadership of new peaceful efforts is a great idea: Trump and Netanyahu should take this opportunity and expand the scale of alternating current last month between Israel and Iran to enable the regional agreement. A tall official of the Emirates told me this week: “Trump can take this opportunity to expand the scale of the ceasefire with Iran to enable gas and beyond. How do we think widely and imagine that this is a possible historical turning point?
This approach, based on the comprehensive thinking that the Middle East reached a turning point – after Israeli’s military victories over Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran – and that it was time to transfer these benefits to a new security structure. The Emiratov official said: “When you triumph over your opponents, you should think about victory in a long -term game, which is integration and adoption in our region. This is our advice to the Israelis. ”
The first task is to achieve a limited gas agreement, stop the struggle there and return Israeli prisoners to their homes. The Messenger of the Middle East, Steve Uitkov, is closely cooperating with the Qatari and Egyptian bodies in order to reach an agreement on the ceasefire in order to break the continuous Patolya situation from the moment of the previous agreement in March.
Israeli and American negotiation participants discussed a package of elements that may include: a two -month truce, during which Hamas released 10 hostages and 18 hostages – without insulting ceremonies; The obligation of the United States, Egypt and Qatar to look for the constant end of the war during the 60 -day truce; Possible exile to the leadership of Hamas to another country; And the freedom of some Palestinians in Gaza to look for work in other Arab countries.
And if a constant ceasefire can achieve, negotiators represent a new structure for the Gaza rule. The details are unclear, but sources close to negotiations indicate a gradual transition to the rule of Palestinians who are not related to Hamas, with the support of 5 main Arab countries: Egypt, Jordan, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Security forces will be revoked from at least some of these countries and are supported by American contractors. The United States can also provide material and technical support, support and control from the base outside the gase, possibly in Egypt.
The United Arab Emirates will also become a major player in a political crossing, and recently discussed a detailed management plan with Ron Dermer, an adviser close to Netanyahu and US officials.
The proposal of the Emirates, which was presented to me by a senior official of the Emirates, will begin the “next day” at the invitation of Palestinian authorities in the process of transition, such as Jordan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the United States and European countries. This proposal recommends that the partners “investigate, recruit, train and equip new and working Palestinian security forces in the gas sector, which is not connected with Hamas.”
Arab and international partners will also contribute to the means to support humanitarian assistance and reconstruction of the Gaza through the allocated fund. This task will support the United Nations resolution. The plan of the United Arab Emirates also represents the “interesting” Palestinian power, with the fact that this proposal describes as “a new, reliable, independent and negative premiere -minist”. This path can be laid for the future Palestinian government, which can ultimately control gas and western coast.
Many Israeli military officials and security officials support the idea of reforming the Palestinian authorities so that it can help stabilize gas after the war, and ultimately becomes a reliable government working with Israel. Netanyahu’s “Law” coalition resolutely opposed any role of power, and some of them even demand that Israel join the west coast, but the elections can eliminate this barrier.
In recent months, officials of Saudi Arabia and Emirates confirmed that if Netanyahu does not make concessions on the Palestinian problem and will not accept the role of power, his hope for the normalization of relations with Saudi Arabia will not be fulfilled.
As soon as the war ends, the volume of relief and reconstruction necessary in gas will be huge. The United Nations satellite analysis was estimated in September last year that 66% of all buildings were damaged or destroyed. Indeed, some grades are above this. Trump argued that the population in gas should be allowed to leave this “demolition zone” for work in other countries during the reconstruction period. It is difficult to resist this opinion if any really voluntary transition.
Trump spoke during his first term about the “deal of the century”, which would solve the Palestinian problem and bring peace in the region. His ambitions are still standing, and he is inspired by the kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates, his strongest Arab allies.
Changing the Middle East is a worthy praise, but it is very difficult. Trump can begin to stop the war in gas and help their Arab partners establish a stable rule in this divided sector. Perhaps this is a new path to the regional world.
Source: Washington Post
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