Despite Pashinyan’s bowing to Russia at the last press conference, Secretary of the National Security Council of Armenia Armen Grigoryan took part in the online conference “Peace Formula” of Ukraine against Russia, while Deputy Foreign Minister Kostanyan stated that rapprochement with the European Union is a strategic decision of the Armenian government and Armenia has time to wait. Deputies of the ruling party say that Russia is against the creation of an Armenian state. First of all, this shows that Armenia is pursuing a hypocritical policy in its attitude towards Russia and is displaying it more and more openly. Since Armenia does not pursue an independent policy, it is engaged in ensuring the interests of the geopolitical poles. As long as Armenia remains in such an insincere, adventurous and dependent state, how realistic is it to achieve lasting peace with it and in the region as a whole?
About the topic Oku.AzA political-military commentator speaking with Ramil Mammadlinin According to him, since 2013, Armenia has undergone a process of political change, as well as certain changes in the military-political leadership: “Armenia took certain steps towards European integration during the period of President Serzh Sargsyan. The European Union and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) were signed in several directions. This situation led to the arrival of military and political circles to Armenia. In fact, from that moment on, a certain coldness began between Armenia and Russia, although it was not felt face to face, but it was clearly felt within the state structures.”
“After Nikol Pashinyan came to power in Armenia in 2018, fundamental changes occurred in the military and political position of this country. Armenia has already openly tried to raise relations with the West in another form, namely, to the level of partnership and even alliance in 2020, during the 44-day Patriotic War, the non-support of Russia and the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) to Armenia and the fact that Karabakh is the territory of Azerbaijan, including expressed by Russian President Vladimir Putin, led to. was working on the deterioration of relations between Armenia and Russia,” Mammadli stressed.
Our interviewer added that as of 2021 the format of cooperation with Armenia was first implemented under the observer mission of the European Union, and as of 2023 – at the level of military instructors of the United States of America: “In fact, today Armenia demonstrates close cooperation with the West, Yerevan. This could be analyzed as a deception – in other words, forcing Yerevan to support Armenia in the Karabakh issue has put a foot in the way, and this path ultimately leads to turning Armenia into a part of the West, or rather, a part of the United States, NATO, both last year and this year “The location of the military unit of.
“Today we can consider Armenia as a training ground for special services of different countries. Because Nikol Pashinyan’s policy has already led to this. Today in Armenia there is a Russian military unit, including an American military unit. In addition, the French military and special services institutions also operate in this area. In short, Armenia has betrayed the Russian state system. We know what services Russia has in its existence. Today, what is the fate of Ukraine. In the near future, we can expect Russia to embark on the path of integration with the West. It is not a condition for Russia to conduct military operations on the territory of Armenia. On the other hand, after the elections held in Georgia, Russia will be strengthened. In this country, it can cause certain problems for Armenia. Even so, Iran does not speak harshly with Armenia. Probably, after a certain period, we will witness the tension of relations between Iran and Armenia. For now, Armenia is trying to be friendly with Iran until it mends its relations with Turkey. It is too early to talk about how long this process will last,” concluded our interviewer.
Political scientist Vagif Hussain while Oku.Az-He said that Pashinyan takes some of his measures based on the events in Ukraine: “If Ukraine gains an advantage, Pashinyan’s voice becomes louder, or if Russia gets some dividends, then Armenia acts accordingly: “A kind of hypocritical policy of Pashinyan is implemented based on the situation. Of course, we also try to maintain the balance between the West and Russia. In fact, I think Azerbaijan is the country that can do this best. Thanks to maintaining this balance, today we have managed to neutralize both blows from the West and some pressures that may come from Russia. We should turn this into an opportunity and normalize relations with Armenia on peaceful conditions that suit us. Otherwise, many things in the region will remain uncertain and it will once again become the object of manipulative actions by both the West and Russia. This should not be allowed. To do this, Azerbaijan should maintain its previous policy and the Azerbaijani army should always demonstrate that it has military power in the region. We must make our plans accordingly. We must dictate these conditions and ensure our superiority in the region.”
The political scientist believes that where a peace agreement is not signed there is a vacuum, where there is a vacuum there is uncertainty, and where there is uncertainty there is chaos and conflict: “That is, as long as the peace agreement is not signed between the parties, there are no diplomatic relations, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Turkey will always be witnesses of these problems. We must prepare for any situation.”
Merahim Nasib
