In recent years it has acquired particular importance young Jorge Reybecame famous to predict long-term climate using cabañuelasA traditional method which has been used for centuries to predict weather conditions based on the first days of January. This phenomenon has aroused the curiosity of millions of people who, despite scientific progress in meteorologythey prefer to follow Rey’s predictions. What motivates so many people to rely on this seemingly archaic method? The explanation could be both in the human psychology as in the Look for answers in times of uncertainty.
One of the main factors behind the massive following of unconventional weather forecasts, like the cabañuelashas to do with the search for control. We live in a time of uncertainty on several fronts: climatic, social and economic. In this context, people are attracted to any source This gives them a sense of predictability about the future.
The psychologist social Amos Tverski stressed that human beings tend to look for patterns and explanations, even in random phenomena. By following long-term forecasts, especially on subjects as unpredictable as the weather, People experience an illusory sense of control, although there is no solid scientific basis to support these predictions.
Fascination with the traditional
In a world dominated by science and technology, traditional methods such as cabañuelas, based on the observation of nature, offer a sense of connection with the past and ancestral wisdom. This attraction to ancient practices It reflects a desire to return to a time when humanity was more reliant on natural cycles and less on algorithms and satellites. The success of Jorge Rey is partly explained by his ability to project an image of humility and proximity to popular knowledgesomething that many people find more accessible and human that the complex mathematical models used by today’s meteorologists.
Effect of the charismatic figure
Another key element is the personality of Jorge Rey himself. Despite her youth, Rey has managed to become a fcharismatic and respected figure in a traditionally It is dominated by educated and technologically advanced experts. The way you communicate your predictions, safely and easilygenerates a relationship of trust with your audience. From psychology, This phenomenon is known as credibility heuristicwhere people place greater trust in figures they perceive as honest or authentic, regardless of their academic background.
The Group Effect and the Information Age
The massification of social networks has also played a crucial role in the diffusion of cabañuelas de Jorge Reand. The massive following of his predictions can be explained by social influence and the so-called group effect. When a topic or person begins to gain popularity, more people join the phenomenon, not necessarily because they believe in the veracity of the method, but because of social pressure or curiosity generated by collective interest.
Finally, there is a natural human inclination toward the extraordinary or the challenging. status quo. Rey’s predictions, based on a method that many consider “mysterious” or “exotic”“, offer a striking alternative to scientific precision. It is the same kind of fascination that arouses interest in other areas of esoteric or pseudo-scientific knowledge. These types of phenomena generate an attractive narrative: a young man who, using an ancient technique, Predicts weather with accuracy that rivals modern technology.
The massive success of Jorge Rey’s cabañuelas reveals much about human psychology, from the need to control the uncertain to the appeal of the traditional in times of change.
