How can a country with the highest level of unemployment in the European Union can record. More than 269,000 are back in May76% of them from employees with an indefinite contract? The Total Accumulated in the First Five Months of the Year Reachs 1.16 Million Volunters of Affiliation, 5.7% More than a Yearlier and 46% More th rame period of 2019. An Evolution that Seems to Take the Opposite to That Registered in the Rest of the World, Weret Resignation ‘OF 2022 and 2023 Seems A Distant Memory, And PLACES OUR Labor Market in A Completely Unpreded Stage in Its History, in Which The History Salaries Have More Power to leave than when. ButAnd if it turns out that this revolution is not like that? The key can be in Intermitted fixed contractsField
Voluntary victims are the second reason for the disappearance of labor relations in Spain after the expiration of a possible contract. Only in May 895,480 cases and 3.79 million in accumulated from the first five months of the year were registered. Between them are victims from the inaction of the intermittent fixed fixed fixes, which does not include the termination of the contract, but the “suspension”, although with high volatility in their work: 480 238 only in May and 1.75 million until 2025 Although they represent only 5.3% of the branches.
It is important to indicate that these data from the general treasury of social security classify only contracts as uncertain (including intermittent fixed), possible and “others” (as well as the category of tailors, which includes government posts, officials and others). That is, We do not know how much diving is fixedAnd this is relevant, as we will see in order to understand how we reconciled in Spain, and if we are faced with a “great resetus”, how we lived in the United States and other countries.
A priori, the resignation will be explained by great demand for employees, which will allow them to choose the best options or even stop working temporarily, given the idea that they will not cost them to find another job.
But in Spain there is an appropriate nuance that affects this idea: temporality. Possible contracts not only cause lower affiliation (despite the fact that only 12.4% of employees represent), but also those who resigned at least until 2021. This year, labor reform has changed the vague rules and contracts, have become a majority of retired.
The change in the script is amazing, since the previous excessive representation of possible retired employees is very higher than their weight in employment (which in May 2019 was about 30%) – noted that the resignations were associated with unreliability: workers with smaller internships and very short contracts. They had a little reviews to abandon their current workField
Who understands the resignation?
How do you explain that after the reform of the resignation of the uncertain they shot yourself? The hypothesis of the government is due to the fact that at a time when I also created work with intensity, more vague contracts were signed. That is, the employees had more opportunities to switch to work equal or higher quality, which caused great voluntary mobility, which explains overheating (lack of labor) in some sectors.
The problem is that this trend was to invest in 2025, since employees and companies adapted to new stable jobs. This is what happened with contracts, whose number goes down, since having more uncertain, companies should sign less. But the resignations, although their growth has slowed down from the first moments, are still at the historical level.
The explanation is that there are more employees than when, especially vague. This is true, but does not fully clarify the secret of resignation. In fact, if we drop absolute figures on ourselves and We look at the resignation factor for the total number of branches By the type of contract, even more amazing behavior is valued.
In May 2019, the resignation was equivalent to 1.2% of the branches in the total regime compared to 1.6% in May of this year. In 2013 and 2014, when Spain began to overcome the great recession, they barely reached 0.5%, which strengthens the thesis that economic improvement increases the resignation. But let’s not forget about the volatility of employment: in the case of Spain, the indefinite level of resignation increased by 0.3% to 0.7%, While the storm shot from 1.2% to 2.6%.
After labor reform, the level of resignation in perpetual growth increased significantly, reaching 1.5%, while the storm coefficient increased to 2.8%. That is, the employees are less, but they continue to resign with the same intensity, Or even something elseThis is before, also preserving High seasonal volatility.
Intractable fixed factor
But what happens to the uncertain? Several studies have shown that most of those who Dimit are not workers with high seniority, but that the resignations are focused on those who worked less time. However, when the number of new contracts decreases, the resignation should decrease. But there is another opportunity: it is intermittently. that they do not return to the callField
When intermittent fixation becomes inaction, it is issued to social security to be discharged again when your company calls it. But what will happen if you reject the call for no justified reasons? In this case, the company must notify social security for the extinction of labor relations at the date after inaction. PRepeatedly the treasury updated the procedure for this procedure on April 15.
This procedure also helps to reduce unemployment benefits if the inactive intermittent fixed fixation perceived, the mechanism that was strengthened by the latest reform of subsidies approved a year ago.
As we have already said, social security statistics do not destroy resignation by type of contract or day, so it is impossible to check how many cases of unsaited calls become a voluntary minimum.
This This will radically change the analysis of the great resignation in SpainSince this is not because of the “escape of workers” or more volatility among ordinary uncertain ones, but either taking into account the power. Companies and employees would adapt to reform, but the rotation of intermittent fixed fixed steel will now be the main engine, just as before, with temporary contracts. That is, there will be no radical changes in the rules of the game, and the panorama will remain too similar to the previous one.
In any case, this would explain the paradox about the resignation that does not return, although there is more stable employment, and fewer contracts have been signed. This puts Spain as a rarity in the international economic environment, preserving one of the most obvious symptoms of overheating, which was diluted otherwise. But in fact, this will reflect constant unreliability in the labor market.
