Democratic conversations and “March 23” in Doha … efforts to strengthen a peace agreement
The Democratic Congo took a new step in the peaceful highway, starting negotiations in Doha with the movement on March 23, whose operations intensified since the beginning of the year with the support of a neighbor Rwanda after signing a peace agreement between Kinshas and Megali in Washington at the end of June.
These new efforts, according to the expert in African affairs, talked with Aucarc al -Ausat, strengthen the peace agreement signed in Washington, and open a way to calm down in the country, providing for the seriousness of the parties and the ability of brokers to provide realistic guarantees, as well as the degree of desire of each batch to accept specific concepts.
Dokha received two delegations from the Democratic Republic of the Congo and March 23 in order to start negotiations between them, according to the informed diplomatic source, told the “French press of agency” on Wednesday, which indicates that “negotiations will decide the agreement”.
Qatar previously took intermediary rounds in this crisis in the previous months, and this tour occurred after it was called “March 23” in a statement last week, to new negotiations, to discuss outstanding issues that the peace agreement did not include in Washington between Kigali and Kinshas without clarifying him.
Chadiana political analyst, an expert in African affairs, Saleh Ishak Issa, believes that “talking about the doha between the rebels and the Democratic Republic of the Congo is a wonderful development in the context of the conflict and carry political links that confirm that there are more than one military option, and that negotiations have become acceptable tools even (March 23), which were superimposed on years.
This path, according to Issa, “receives the importance of double in the light of the Washington Agreement, which united Kinshas and Gali, but he deliberately or practically ignored the integration of the rebels and did not turn to the roots of the local crisis in the field, while in the doha, for the first time over the years, representatives of re -admission to the non -legal set.
Despite this, the chances of the success of this convergence are still related to several factors, according to Ise, including “the seriousness of the parties in the obligation and ability of brokers to provide realistic guarantees, in addition to expanding the readiness of each party to make specific concessions,” emphasizing that “it is not enough to announce that not following, with time, with them. Forces and settlement of the conditions of the local population suffering from waves of movement and frequent violations. ”
And if these negotiations succeed in turning from temporary calm into a constant path of negotiations, which includes all parties, it can be improved, but rather completes what began in Washington, especially if Rwanda is committed to curbing her field influence, and the Congo is committed to finding a political decision, and not just security, but if it remains open efforts. Expectations, according to the expectations of Salekh. Isaac Issa.
At the end of June last year, Kigali and Kinshas signed a peace agreement in Washington, which provides for the creation of a joint security coordination body to monitor progress, and promised to stop the support of the rebels in two countries.
The agreement calls for the “neutralization” of democratic forces to release Rwanda with the approval of the Minister of Foreign Affairs Rwanda Olivier Andoji, during the signing, in which the US President Donald Trump was present, the need for “the end of state support (from the democratic Congo of these forces) is constantly and incorrect and correct”, and this should be “an ax”. While his Congolese colleague Teresa Kaykvaba Wagner emphasized the call to agree to observe the state sovereignty regarding the importance of stopping Rwanda support for the movement of March 23.
This contrast will not be absent in the negotiation table in Doha, and the African expert believes that the most noticeable problems with which these two parties may encounter in Doha are “in the absence of mutual trust and a fundamental contradiction in the reports of the causes of the conflict”.
The Democratic government of the Congo in the movement of March 23 is considering a military instrument that serves the interests of Rwanda, accusing Kigali in support of it as a logistics and material -technical, while Rwanda insists that the greatest threat is the presence of Huto militias (FDLR) in the framework of the Congo, which, as not in 1994, which are not groups that are not groups that are not groups that are not groups that are not in groups groups that are not groups. With any control over any of the two sides, such as the forces of the democratic alliance (ADF) and local militias, will depend on some kind of bilateral understanding, even if between Kinshasa and “March 23”, which indicates the weakness of the Congolese institutions, and the inability of the army in full control in the east, which is carried out in accordance with the action that will be in accordance with what will be in accordance with what will be in accordance with what will be in accordance with what will be in accordance with In accordance with the action. The decision did not include a comprehensive processing of environmental combat operations in the east of the country.
On March 23, the movement has reached rapid progress in the Eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo since January last year and seized large cities and vast lands in clashes, in which thousands died.
Violence in the east of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, rich in resources on the border with Rwanda, was unbridled for three decades, and since the rebels began the attack at the end of 2021, which followed the proposal of more than 10 agreements on a truce in the eastern democratic region of the Congo, but all diplomatic attempts to put an end to the conflict.
Thus, Salekh Ishak Issa will not work that this time is the possibility that the movement on March 23 will become part of the government or power in the Democratic Congo, adding: “But this merger remains very sensitive, and it can bring some consent with it fragile and not stable, unless its political process is determined in relation to the army, and then it will not be established in the army, and then will not be established In the army, and its elements do not become complex, and its elements do not become complex, and its elements return, and its elements were integrated, and its elements were integrated, and then in the arrest, and then in the “army” and then in the army. This was created in 2012 by deep doubts about the reliability and intentions of this movement, especially in the eyes of political elites in Kinshasa, politically.
Issa believes that the closest decision is to “integrate (March 23) consciously into the structure of the state, but not providing it with direct political power, unless the strict conditions are respected, which include disarmament, responsibility for violations and a strict international mechanism of monitoring,“ emphasizing that “without these conditions, any agreement will be a fragile collapse in the first Polevom testing “.
