Russia and Belarus begin to Zapad-2015: should the eastern NATO block expect more attacks with a dress?

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According to the President of Ukraine, out of 19 Russian unmanned aircraft, which moved to Poland.

“At least two Russian unmanned aircraft that entered the Polish territory at night used the airspace of Belarus,” said Volodymyr Zelensky.

“In general, at least several dozen Russian unmanned aircraft moved along the border of Ukraine and Belarus.”

On the air defense Wednesday, Ukraine destroyed more than 380 Russian unmanned aircraft of various models. At least 250 of them were Shahad.

Currently, Kyiv is investigating the types of unmanned aircraft and details of the Russian attack, said Zelensky, adding that Ukraine was ready to “expand cooperation with partners to reliable heaven.”

What do Russia and Belarus say?

The Russian Ministry of Defense said that it did not intend to attack Poland in Poland during an attack on Ukraine.

“Not a single object in the Polish territory should have been a goal. The maximum range of dresses used on the blow (in Ukraine) does not exceed 700 kilometers. ”

Moscow added that she was ready to “conduct consultations with the Ministry of Protection of the Polish Ministry on this issue.”

Belarus said that an unmanned plane entered the Polish airspace “accidentally” after their navigation systems were blocked.

Pavel Muravia, Deputy Minister of Defense of Belarus, claimed that the dress was “lost since the path”, and that Belarus himself broke a little on its territory.

In the video on the official channel of the telegram of the Ministry of Defense of Belarus, Maravika said that from 11 to 4 in the morning his own strengths, Poland and Lithuania exchanged information through the “communication channels” on an unmanned aircraft.

The attacks occurred a few days before Poland closes its borders with Belarus from the “very aggressive”, like the Polish prime minister, military exercises between Russia and Belarus.

What is Zapad-2015?

Zapad, which means the “West” in Russian, are the common military exercises of Russia that occur in September, usually every four years. This time, gymnasiums are planned to begin on September 12.

The gymnasium was first opened in 2009 for coordination and training of the regional military complex, which united the army of Belarus and the Russian 20th Army of the 20th guard of the Western Military District.

They say that each Zapad formation includes from 12,000 to 13,000 military personnel, although NATO claims that the official numbers are doubtful and question their goal.

Nevertheless, previous exercises showed that Moscow and Minsk played fantastic scenarios that looked terrible in real countries in their area or showed plans for the future.

For example, Zapad-2017 exercises represented three fantastic states: Vesbaria, Lubivniya and Veinthia, which resembled the states of the Baltic, Litvia, Latvia and Estonia, and included territories in the abyss of Suukov, the region separating the Russian region of the Russian region. Belarus.

In September 2021 – a few months before Russia began its full invasion of Ukraine – Moscow said that 12,800 soldiers took part in Sapad -2021 in Belarus.

The total number of troops in this area was, in fact, about 200,000. In February 2022, Russia used the forces that remained in Belarus after the exercises ended in attacking Ukraine from the territory of Belarus.

Poland closes the border with Belarus

Even before the attack with an unmanned plane on Wednesday, Poland announced that Close his border with Belarus According to Prime Minister Donald Tusk, at midnight on September 11 from the safety problems associated with large military military exercises, under the leadership of Russia.

“On Friday, they begin in Belarus, very close to the Polish border, Russian-white gymnasiums, very aggressive from the point of view of a military doctrine,” Tusk said Tuesday on Tuesday.

“Therefore, for reasons of national security, we will close the border by Belarus, including railway crossings on Thursday at midnight.”

Polish President Carol Navroki warned: “We do not trust Vladimir Putin’s good intentions.”

“In anticipation of, of course, the long -term world, the constant world that is necessary for our areas, we believe that Vladimir Putin is ready to invade other countries.”

Lithuania also announced that it would increase safety along its border with Belarus and Russia.

It is assumed that the new military base is built in Belarus

They say that the new military institution was built in Belarus, which, according to analysts, may be of strategic importance for Russia in its continuing war against Ukraine.

According to Radio Liberty, the construction began in June 2024 south of Minsk, near the village of Pavlovka. The construction site now extends to more than 2 square kilometers.

Experts believe that a new hazel missile system in Russia may accommodate in the complex.

During the year, more than a square kilometer of forest in the western part of the district, 13 at 30 meters of 20 meters, as well as three 100 -meter depots, were built behind the defensive walls.

Various other buildings were also founded that were connected with each other with a network mainly of asphalt roads.

Belarusian officials did not recognize the plan. No official document or ground entries report the database.

A joint study conducted in the Schemes program of the Ukrainian radio Svoboda, Radio Liberty Belrus Service and Estonian agencies Delfi Estonia and Eesti Ekspress also found that the second new installation on the outskirts of the city of Gomel, less than 40 km from the border with Ukraine.

According to the investigation, this is the future military base. Construction began at the end of 2023, with cutting trees, cleaning space and active infrastructure.

The size and infrastructure of the installation correspond to the existing military bases in Belarus, which means that it can potentially place an army team with about 3,000 employees.

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