After Marine Le Pen’s statements indicating that the National Rally could vote on the motion of censure of the NFP, in case of resorting to article 49.3 to approve the budget, the scenario of the fall of Barnier’s government gains ground. For the political scientist and constitutionalist Benjamin Morel, professor at the University of Paris-Panthéon-Assas, the advantage, in the event of the appointment of a “technical” government, is that “Everyone will take a date with the idea that this time dissolution is not an option, but an acquired thing.”
What would happen the day after the censorship of Michel Barnier’s government?
If the no-confidence motion is ever passed, the government will be considered to have resigned immediately, which differs from the situation in July, when the government could legally be considered to have resigned only once the president accepted the prime minister’s resignation. . of the Republic. There, Emmanuel Macron will not be able to delay the moment when the government can only continue with current affairs.
Therefore, the question that may arise is the following: Will Macron maintain a resigned government until a potential dissolution? Politically, this would seem crazy, but not legally impossible. Or is he appointing someone who may not be ousted by the same opposition coalition that would have ousted Michel Barnier, which would mean finding the five-legged sheep?
If the Head of State considers that it is possible for a resigning government to implement the budget, perhaps through an order under Article 47, the resigning government may last a long time. We have few prospects, even fewer precedents, but there is a legal path. On the other hand, the political consequences would be very serious. The Government would not be able to take measures that would compromise its successor, it would be blocked in numerous appointments, it would have difficulties in presenting bills and it would have absolutely no credibility in the European negotiations, in addition to all the difficulties in the world to reassure the markets. about our ability to even have a budget… How long would this situation be democratically and politically tolerable? The question is who can you name behind this?
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