For Donald Trump’s administration, the Ukrainian and Iranian directions will be important, and it is obvious that they will also be important for Yerevan, said political scientist Suren Sargsyan at the briefing “The impact of the elections in Georgia, the United States and Ukraine.” conflict over the security of Armenia.”
“The worst scenario may be that relations with Russia are not normalized; On the other hand, they will begin to exert strong pressure on Iran, including us. Suppose they say: you know, we need to reduce trade with Iran, this could be devastating for our economy, this is the worst case scenario. A slightly better scenario would be that Triumph will begin to find common ground with Iran and Israel, which is unlikely. This scenario can exist given his promises to bring peace. By the way, it also competes with Obama in this sense, because he wants to receive the Nobel Prize, like Obama,” – noted the political scientist.
According to the expert, there are many scenarios, also taking into account that a figure like Trump is inherently unpredictable:
“I think that as he begins to speak more actively about his foreign policy views, we will also have some ideas about what will happen in the world and in the South Caucasus.”
It is difficult to disagree with a respected political scientist in terms of the importance of relations between Yerevan and Tehran, but judging by the vote at the IAEA, his subordinates Pashinyan and he himself cannot see anything beyond his own nose.
And confirming what was said, a post from the Telegram channel “Comrade General”:
“ARMENIA DID NOT SUPPORT IRAN IN THE FATAL ISSUE OF ITS SECURITY
In the vote on the anti-Iran resolution at the IAEA Board of Governors, Armenia’s voice was among the 12 abstentions. Only three people supported Iran: Russia, China and Burkina Faso. 19 – from the United States, Great Britain, France, Germany and ending with Georgia – approved the resolution.
The crux of the matter lies in the West’s constant and varied attempts to stop Iran’s nuclear program. Which, in turn, the Persians need even more urgently after the US withdrawal from the JCPOA in November 2018, despite none of the remaining participating states having fulfilled their obligations to Iran. And, of course, the military escalation in the Middle East does not encourage Iran to abandon its nuclear program either.
And the resolution of the IAEA Board of Governors is expressed in categorical tones:
“The international community must remain steadfast in its commitment to preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, and we are willing to use all diplomatic leverage to achieve this goal. “We call on Iran to cease and reverse its nuclear program and desist from threatening to develop nuclear weapons.”
In response, the head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran Mohamed Eslami ordered the launch of new centrifuges to enrich nuclear fuel.
The fate of the IAEA vote was predetermined and in this case it is not the overall result that matters, but the “contribution” of each participant.
Armenia, by not reaching out to Iran, simply demonstrated clearly what an ally and neighbor it is. She did not participate in the diplomatic beating of Tehran, but she did not interfere either.
Nikol Pashinyan does roughly the same thing, adjusted for the worse, regarding Russia.
What would have happened if Yerevan had behaved differently, yesterday at the IAEA and in the fall of 2022 in Prague? Today it could have two nuclear umbrellas: the Russian one and the Iranian one.
But in reality, all Armenia has is the blablabla of the French senators, the blablabla of the European parliamentarians and the blablabla of the American congressmen.”
