The President of the Government, Pedro Sanchezrecords its lowest popularity figure (26.5%) since January 2020, as revealed by the latest barometer developed by SocioMétrica for EL ESPAÑOL.
This is the first survey carried out by sampling after the declaration of Victor de Aldama before the National Court last Thursday. The results show that the accusations of the businessman investigated in the Koldo affair against the president and several members of his government have an impact on Sánchez’s voting intentions and level of popularity.
The president experienced his peak popularity (41.5%) in June 2020, coinciding with the end of confinement due to the COVID-19 pandemic. However, in the year since his last inauguration as president, it has risen from 40% in November 2023 to 26.5% current popularity, its lowest level in five years.
For the first time in Parliament, a majority of respondents believe that Alberto Nuñez Feijóo (33.1%) will be the next President of the Government, slightly above the 30.4% who believe that Sánchez will continue in office.
In last month’s survey, before Aldama’s statement, 39.1% considered Sánchez’s re-election guaranteed, well above Feijóo’s options (32%).
When it comes to measuring the stability of Parliament, the parliamentary victory with which the government managed to approve the new tax package last Thursday and the appointment of the Therese Ribera as European Commissioner, circumventing the blockade of Spanish MEPs, is not enough to thwart the earthquake caused by the declaration of businessman Víctor de Aldama before the judge.
From the PP, several of its leaders like Feijóo himself, Cuca Gamarra either Miguel Telladohave been calling for Sánchez’s resignation since Thursday and threatening a possible motion of censure. The lack of support from the PNV and the Junts, however, rules out this hypothetical scenario.
This loss of support also translates into the question of who voters would prefer as president. Sánchez, with 17.9%, lost 10% of support compared to the inauguration a year ago, when he was preferred by 27.9% of those polled. Feijóo also lost support, but remains ahead of Sánchez with 20.4%.
However, the most common answer to this question is “none» (40.3%), symptom of the accumulated wear and tear of the electorate after a year marked by the amnesty law, the turbulent geopolitical context, the corruption scandals or DANA in Valencia. Only a year ago 17.4% They opted for this option.
If the election comes down to the leaders of the two main parties, Feijóo is once again the favorite with 34.6% support, against Sánchez, who gets 31.3%.
Concerning the popularity of each of the leaders, Yolanda Diaz (30%) continues to be the most prominent leader, ahead Feijo (27.5%), Pedro Sánchez (26.5%) And Santiago Abascal (22.7%). Alvise Pérez (9.2%)the least known.
And as for the notes, no leader approves. The leader of Sumar does not notice the crisis in her space that occurred after the traumatic resignation of Íñigo Errejón and continues to be most appreciated with a 3.8 out of 10. Feijoo loses a tenth (3.6) compared to the October barometer and Pedro Sanchez (3.3) continues to decline. Alvise Pérez (2.5) is once again the lowest rated.
If the evaluation is filtered and those responsible for rating their leaders are the voters of each party themselves, things change. Alvise Pérez (8.7) is the most popular with its voters, followed by Yolanda Diaz (8.6) and Santiago Abascal (8.5). Pedro Sánchez (6.5) also receives less internal support than Feijóo (8.2).
Technical sheet
The study was carried out by the company SocioMética between November 22 and 24, 2024 through 1,227 random interviews extracted from a panel of n = 10,000 individuals representative of all Spanish socio-demographic segments.
The final results were finely adjusted using a weighting variable that takes into account gender, age, province and electoral memory during the last three elections.
Maximum error: 3% (SocioMétrica’s average deviation in voting in gen23 was 1.1% and in eu24 was 0.8%). No confidence level is applicable as this is non-probability sampling. Director of the study: Gonzalo Adán. Doctor in political psychology and professor of psychometrics and social research techniques. SocioMétrica is a member of Insights + Analytics Spain.
