In a turbulent period for the National Rally (RN), this is a piece of blue sky for the party: the annual barometer of the Verian Institute of the world on the image of the extreme right party, published on Monday, November 25, in collaboration with the magazine The hemicycleconfirms the advance in opinion of the ideas of Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella, as well as the trivialization of their formation, proven at the polls. But doubts persist about the RN’s ability to convince the majority of voters, especially those on the right, after a legislative electoral campaign (June 30 and July 7) marked by the extremism and incompetence of several of its members. members.
This study marks “a turning point in the dynamics of the RN”judge Eddy Vautrin-Dumaine, director of Verian studies. “Adherence to his ideas continues to progress, but he is isolated and losing his appeal among right-wing sympathizers. In the short and medium term, we may have doubts about his access to power if he does not manage to restart a dynamic by approaching the Les Républicains party. [LR]. »
This survey – among 1,004 people interviewed face to face in their homes – has been carried out for forty years by the same institute and under the same conditions, which allows us to have a long-term vision of the opinion of the French about the future. correct match. We read about their strengths and weaknesses. Without a doubt, neither the ongoing process against the party over the matter of the parliamentary assistants of the National Front (former name of the RN) in the European Parliament, nor the disappointment of the legislative elections have undermined the dynamics of the Lepenist party. The investigation took place from November 12 to 20, 2024, that is, the period during which the prosecution’s requests were announced requesting a sentence of five years in prison (including two years in prison) and five years of immediate ineligibility against Marine Le Pen.
The “normalization” of the RN accelerates in public opinion
For the first time in 2023, fewer respondents considered registered nurse “It is not a danger to democracy” than the opposite (45% vs. 41%). A year later, the gap widens: 51% now believe that this formation does not threaten democracy, compared to 38% who think the opposite. That is, an increase of ten points in two years, which indicates a habituation of the presence of the RN in the institutions, which was precisely the objective of the party after the election of 89 deputies in June 2022. This figure is even more It is spectacular that the RN has never seemed so close to power: more than two out of three French people anticipate such a scenario.
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