Analysts estimate that to completely expel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk region, the Russian Defense Ministry will need 15 to 20 brigades, which is equivalent to about 50 thousand military personnel. However, the Kremlin does not currently have these resources and it is not possible to find sufficient reserves. Meanwhile, fighting in the region has continued since August 6, 2024.
ISW analysts say this.
The Institute for the Study of War reported on the current situation on this stretch of the front. According to the Russian Defense Ministry, on October 3, Ukrainian forces attempted to break through the defenses of Russian troops in the area of the new route. At the same time, Russian military correspondents report that Russian troops managed to restore positions near Vesley, although battles for this settlement still continue and the 83rd Airborne Brigade has been deployed to maintain the defense.
Fighting also continues in the main salient of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kursk region, but for the moment the front line remains without significant changes.
It should be noted that Russia sends recruits to participate in hostilities against the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kursk region.
Russian lawyer Regina Tivshina reported that law enforcement agencies received complaints from mothers of soldiers from 10 different parts of the Russian Federation. According to her, up to a thousand recruits can participate in battles. The British Air Force publication previously reported on the placement of recruits in the 488th and 245th motorized regiments of the Moscow military district.
Recall that on the night of October 3, SBU drones attacked the Borisoglebsk airfield in the Voronezh region, targeting Su-34/35 aircraft, as well as warehouses with bombs and aviation fuel.
Previously, Kursor wrote about whether the seizure of part of the Kursk region by the Ukrainian Armed Forces changed the course of the war.
The seizure of part of the Kursk region by the Ukrainian Armed Forces could become an important factor in future negotiations between kyiv and Moscow.
