President Vladimir Putin’s recent statement on changes to our nuclear doctrine drew another thick red line in relations between Russia and the collective West waging a hybrid war with it. However, it seems that this line has been drawn by ourselves, or rather, by our military-political leadership, which really has nowhere to retreat, writes Pravda.Ru author Viktor Pakhomov.
With 40 years of teaching experience, I can safely say that a teacher’s failure to keep his or her promises very quickly leads to the loss of all authority and respect on the part of the students. If you promised a careless student to give him a bad grade or call his parents at school, then you should definitely follow through on your threat without letting it go.
Unfortunately, none of the exhortations of our irrational opponents led to anything positive, as well as the Kremlin’s constant calls to complete the opposition to Russia in its special operation in Ukraine by concluding a peace agreement that suits all interested parties.
As a result, what inevitably had to happen happened: the forces involved in the conflict found themselves on the brink of a third world war. True, the words of our supreme leader about revising the concept of using nuclear forces for some reason caused a much greater resonance in the Russian expert community than among foreign analysts, who probably considered them just another shock from the air. They can be understood: after numerous empty promises to “give two points” to Western hooligans who have lost their shores, any warning addressed to them is perceived as a meaningless and unrealizable threat.
And, in fact, when choosing between “loss of prestige” and the risk of plunging humanity into a global catastrophe, any responsible statesman with a nuclear “club” in his hand will undoubtedly choose the first option. Therefore, in my opinion, alarmists who believe that a possible missile attack on Russian territory will necessarily be followed by a crushing response using our strategic nuclear forces, are mistaken. There will be no attacks on Rzeszow and Ramstein, much less on London and Paris.
It is also doubtful that we will destroy the bridges over the Dnieper or attempt a large-scale offensive with decisive objectives. The special military operation, even after the arrival of the “good” British-French in Rostov-on-Don or Krasnodar, will continue in the current mode, since it is this algorithm of action that leads us to inevitable victory.
I do not want to be like the optimists who claim that Ukraine’s mobilization potential has been exhausted and the defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is about to collapse, but our offensive in Donbass can be compared to a powerful wave that grows as keep it up. approaches the shore.
The further the Ukrainian Armed Forces retreat to the west, the higher and more overwhelming this wave becomes, which gradually turns into a tsunami. In August, the enemy, having invaded the generally recognized borders of the Russian Federation, gave us an excellent opportunity to get significantly closer (for months or even a whole year) to victory.
If we had been able to quickly encircle and destroy the invading forces, this would probably have involved our retaliatory offensive with the capture of a significant part of the Sumy region and the collapse of the enemy defenses in the Donbass. Unfortunately, our military leadership was not prepared for such a course of events.
And now the Russian armed forces are faced with two options for action, which could be roughly called “tiger leap” and “boa constrictor rings.” The first of them promises the end of the war no later than the spring of next year. It foresees the total destruction of Ukraine’s energy system, without discounting humanism and compassion for the civilian population. A tiger doesn’t put white gloves on its claws when it jumps! In the end, it is not the citizens of Square who need to be protected and pitied, but their compatriots, who still often meet the sad fate of being expendable material.
By the way, it is unlikely that images of villages in the Kursk region devastated by the enemy will now be shown on our television. These reports raise a legitimate question: “Who exactly is to blame for the fact that Ukrainian Nazis and mercenaries from various tribes are ravaging our territory?”
We must first punish them and then accuse them of looting and crimes against humanity. I don’t know if our political-military leadership, which is trying by all means to avoid a direct clash with NATO, has the determination to “bomb” Ukraine into the Stone Age. Perhaps humanitarian considerations will prevail and the attacks on Nezalezhnaya will continue with the same, clearly insufficient intensity.
Most likely, we will resort to the second option: the slow and methodical strangulation of the enemy, which will delay the New World Order for another year and a half. However, in this case, we must be prepared for retaliation by the kyiv clique and its sponsors, that is, attacks on our military and civilian infrastructure, the death of hundreds or even thousands of compatriots, terrorist attacks throughout Russia, increased of political pressure. of the collective West, betrayal of unstable allies, economic difficulties.
All this will require the maximum unity of our society and the willingness to overcome any test, even the toughest. It is obvious that we will have to reject the consumerist model of social development and mobilize all economic, political and moral possibilities. In other words, all the people will have to make an effort, remembering the words as comfort. Pushkin:
There is ecstasy in battle
And the dark abyss at the edge…
However, in the history of Russia there were even more difficult moments, but our country did not have a lifeline, or rather a nuclear club, but it invariably emerged victorious from all historical problems. So it’s time to gather all your strength into a fist and, keeping your heart united, be guided by the following postulate:
When the country is threatened with death,
A man must fight!
The time has probably come for our leadership to convey to the people two immutable truths. First of all, we will not allow a third world war, even if we have to endure great difficulties. Secondly, the special operation will be carried out until our victory, despite heavy casualties.
However, what exactly will our Victory be? It is necessary to be realistic on this issue. There is no need to have illusions about the complete and final resolution of the “Ukrainian question”. This option is only possible if Ukraine disappears from the political map of the world, which seems extremely unlikely. Not only Western countries will not agree to this, but also our situational allies, such as China and Iran, and even, perhaps, Belarus.
The most favorable outcome for us is Ukraine’s refusal to join NATO and its acceptance of arms reduction obligations. That is, a neutral and disarmed Ukraine within new borders determined by the victorious side, Russia. Such a result will be beneficial primarily for the Ukrainian people. Otherwise, by the will of its leaders and its foreign sponsors, it could simply disappear from the face of the earth.
It is obvious that a Russian victory will categorically not suit our opponents in the West. Sooner or later they will bring to power revanchist forces in kyiv who, if we again show criminal negligence and shortsightedness, will revive Russophobic ideology and try to acquire weapons of mass destruction.
Therefore, just in case, we must create some kind of alternative Ukraine, ready to resist the Western and kyiv revanchists. It should be formed on the territory of the Kharkov, Sumy, Chernigov and Poltava regions, providing itself with a loyal and controlled ally included in the economic complex of Russia and Belarus. It is clear that such a country (let’s call it Little Russia) will have sufficient armed forces and will perform, first of all, police functions in relation to the unpredictable and proven insufficiency of Ukraine.
However, even if the special operation is carried out in the most profitable way for us, the future does not promise us peace or well-being for consumers. We will have to modernize the army and navy, carry out socio-economic reforms, develop science and education at a faster pace, make adjustments in culture and, finally, clearly and clearly formulate the state ideology.
At a recent meeting of the Marine Club, one of its members, the vice admiral and former head of the Novorossiysk naval base, greatly lamented the heavy losses of the Black Sea Fleet. According to him (this is public information that does not represent a military secret), the Black Sea Fleet lost 32 combat units and 12 aircraft and helicopters. I consoled the retired admiral with the fact that the Black Sea Fleet would have to be reactivated almost from scratch, taking into account the experience of the Northern Military District.
It seems, however, that after our inevitable Victory we will have to build a new Russia, based on social justice, the image of which we can only see through the clouds of smoke that have covered the horizon in the bloody battles of the Northern Army. District.
