the latest information on the elections between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump

Thank you for these questions, which remind us that the US presidential election is not just about politics, but also about arithmetic. Therefore, it is an indirect vote, in which voters vote at the state level for the electors, who then designate the winner.

To reach 270 voters it is necessary, as American “politicians” say, to define an electoral strategy and campaign accordingly, in States that may lean towards one side or the other, these undecided states which we will talk a lot about.

For Kamala Harris and the Democrats, victory passes through Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, commonly called the Blue Wall: if the wall remains, the Democratic candidate (whose color is blue) can win the elections, but not if it is cracked.

Currently, Kamala Harris is very, very slightly ahead of Donald Trump, according to polls from the Cook Political Report and the New York Times which we keep updated daily.

A very recent opinion study, conducted between October 3 and 7 and published on Wednesday by Quinnipiac University, shows, however, that the dynamics seem very Republican in these three states. Here are their figures:

The authors note that during the previous survey, on September 18, “Harris was ahead in Pennsylvania, slightly ahead in Michigan and tied in Wisconsin.”. It must also be remembered that these differences are within the margin of error.

As political journalist Chris Cillizza summarizes, “The Blue Wall numbers are going in the wrong direction for Kamala Harris,” while these states “they are the whole choice for her”. “She MUST win two of the three states. “If you lose two, or all three, you don’t have many ways to reach 270 voters.”. It also cites data from Decision Desk HQ, another site specializing in survey tracking and analysis, which confirms “a trend, albeit slight, of losing momentum for Harris over the past month” which is true in these three States.