7 reasons why Iran should not fight for President Putin, one of which avoids the Second World War

Tehran – When the missiles began to fall into the nuclear sections of Iran, the world began to expect a Moscow response. This is Iran – a Russian strategic mother, suppliers of a deadly viravak aircraft for the Ukrainian War, allies in confrontation against the West.

Of course, Vladimir Putin, a man who sent troops to save Syria Assad and Wagner’s mercenary to support the Libyan military commander, would not leave Tehran when necessary?

Run the world of TRT, the answer does not come in the rhus of Russian fighter aircraft or mobilizing the air defense system, but in the measured diplomatic protest. Putin condemned the attack as “completely reasonable”, offering Moscow services as an intermediary and convincing the world that Russian experts at the Iranian nuclear plant will remain safe because Israel promised not to harm them.

For countries that are projected as champions of the southern world against Western hegemony, this is a very controlled answer. However, self -control, in this case, revealed more about the true nature of the strategic thought of Russia than about any revolutionary rhetoric.

7 reasons why Iran should not fight for President Putin, one of which avoids the Second World War

1. There is no interest in Russia in Iran

To understand why Russia treats Iran differently than in Syria or Libya, we must first understand the hierarchy of threats and opportunities that form a worldview to Moscow. In this calculation, not all allies were created the same, and not all enemies require the same level of confrontation.

Having launched the TRT World, Syria offers a priceless thing for Russia: the base of the military fleet of warm water in the Mediterranean, support in the Middle East and the opportunity to confuse the United States, saving the client desired by Washington. The intervention is expensive, but strategically transforming, announcing the return of Russia as global military force after several decades of post -Soviet failures.

Libya represents another, but equally interesting offer. Support for Halifa Handlist troops requires minimal Russian investments – several Wagner contractors, outdated weapons and diplomatic protection – while the potential to ensure access to the oil track and African migration. The risk can be managed, the opposition is fragmented, and the American obligation is unclear.

2. Avoid the Second World War

However, Iran presents a completely different category of problems. The support of Tehran against Israel and the United States means direct confrontation with two nuclear armed forces, one of which remains the dominant military force in the world. This does not support the regime that fails or supports the regional military commander – this risks the Second World War.

Perhaps the most obvious aspect of the Russian approach to Iran is how it reflects the deconficte mechanism developed by Moscow with Israel over Syria. Since 2015, Russian and Israeli forces have been working in the Syrian airspace based on a number of complex understanding, which allows both sides to pursue their goals without causing direct clashes.

Israel received the right to attack Iran’s position in Syria; Russia received the approval of Israel in relation to the wider presence of Moscow in the region. When the F-16 of Israel destroyed the delivery of Iran’s weapons or liquidated the commander of the revolutionary guard, the Russian air defense system did not care about accepting Moscow, accepting previous notifications.

This agreement turned out to be very durable, so when the Assad regime finally collapsed at the end of 2024, Israeli officials were reported to maintain Russian bases in Syria. Better the devil, you know, Tel -Aviv thought.