Former US President Donald Trump reduced three-tenths of the advantage of Vice President of the United States Kamala Harris, two tenths on Thursday and one this Friday. The Democratic candidate for the White House maintains a minimal advantage of 1.4 points over the Republican candidate, according to the general average of surveys published this Friday in the United States. According to these polls, which reflect the general sentiment of voters in the United States, 17 days before the November 5 electionsHarris would obtain 49.3% of the electorate’s favor. Trump would win 47.9% of the vote, according to the general average of polls in the United States.
Follow the trend of recent weeks: this advantage It is not enough for the Democrat to win the electionsdue to the distribution of electoral votes in each state of the Electoral college system. Biden beat Trump in 2020 by 4.4% in the popular vote, but barely managed in the Electoral College. His margin of victory came from winning Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and Wisconsin (with 43 electoral votes) by fewer than 77,000 votes combined..
In 2016, Hillary Clinton achieved similar surpluses to Kamala Harris in California and New York, resulting in a margin of advantage of 2.1 percentage points in the popular vote (48.2 versus 46.1%). But he lost the electoral vote (304-227). So, if the elections had taken place this Friday, Trump would have wonturning the United States map red with 312 electoral votes. 270 electoral votes are needed to win the White House. Meanwhile, Harris would have been left with 226 electoral votes.
For this reason, the Harris campaign began appearing on different television programs, such as 60 minutes from CBS and The Late Show with Stephen Colbertas well as in The view from ABC or his interview on Fox News.
Less than three weeks before the 2024 US presidential elections, Trump would surpass Harris in all the undecided states, which hold the key to winning these elections: Pennsylvania (0.5 points), Wisconsin (0.1 points) and Michigan (0.9), once again completely breaking the famous Blue Wall (blue wall), which make up these three traditional Democratic states. Trump had already won these three strongholds from Harris’ party in 2016. He would also win Arizona (1.4 points), North Carolina (1), Georgia (0.9) and Nevada (0.5) . The electoral college system This would benefit Trump again, as happened in 2016. He went on to beat Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton.
As you can see in the graph aboveDemocratic fear is reflected in polls in the battleground states mentioned above (Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan). Harris is behind.
The Democrats only have two hopes:
- That the polls are false.
- That by giving friendlier interviews, Kamala Harris can win over voters who don’t trust her.
States Harris Got
Colorado (10 electoral votes).
Illinois (19).
Washington (12).
California (54).
New Jersey (14).
new York (28).
Oregon (8).
Maine District 1 (1).
Maine (2).
Minnesota (10), even if some polls consider him undecided.
New Mexico (5).
Virginia (13).
Connecticut (7).
Delaware (3)
D.C.capital of Washington (3).
Hawaii (4).
Maryland (10).
Massachusetts (11).
Rhode Island (4).
Vermont (3).
States that Trump secured
Florida (30 electoral votes).
Ohio (17).
Texas (40).
Maine District 2 (1).
Alaska (3).
Iowa (6).
Kansas (6).
Missouri (10).
Mountain (4).
South Carolina (9).
Alabama (9).
Arkansas(6).
Idaho (4).
Indiana (11).
Kentucky (8).
Louisiana (8).
Mississippi (6).
Nebraska (4).
North Dakota (3).
Oklahoma (7).
South Dakota (3).
Tennessee (11).
Utah (6).
WV (4).
Wyoming (3).
undecided states
Arizona (11). Trump is leading in the polls.
Georgia (16). Trump leads Harris in polls.
Michigan (15). Trump has broken the Democratic blue wall: he is ahead of Harris in studies on voting intentions.
Snowfall (6). Trump has an advantage over Harris in the polls.
North Carolina (16). Trump surpasses Harris.
Pennsylvania (19). The state of Pennsylvania is the most populated of the undecided. He has 19 votes in the Electoral College. It is the most important state in this presidential race. Trump leads Harris, according to latest polls.
Wisconsin (10). Trump leads Harris in the state, according to the latest polls.
Some pollsters add to the previously mentioned seven New Hampshire (4) and Nebraska District 2 (1) to the list of undecided.
