The influence of intermittent fixed In the numbers of unemployment This is one of the repeated contradictions from the labor reform from the characteristics of these jobs: we are talking about indefinite workers, but we stop working, quoting and receiving income when the company stops having to need, although contractual relations He remains in force with the obligation to call againThe field until then, although they are signed by unemployment, they are considered not unemployed, but as “plaintiffs in labor relations.” But how much unemployment would grow if they were calculated? In June last year, an increase will mean 31.4%, which is 4.1 times more than in the same period of 2019. Data that question the reliability of current employment statistics in order to reflect the insecurity of the labor market.
Legal changes contributed to the use of this figure at unprecedented levels, facilitating, among other things, its use by ETTS. The idea was to transform this contract, Thoughts about a possible but repeated work, In the transition path of temporary contracts to ordinary uncertain ones, although the result indicates more This suggests that the form of unreliabilityIt is enough to look at the field at the huge level of volatility that they suffer, which even exceeds the speed of storms. But, unlike themWhile they work, are not considered unemployed, For the purposes of the employment service of the state state (SEPE).
Despite the changes, Ministry of Labor He did not improve his public statistics to evaluate how this figure behaves, what affects not only the conditions when they work, but also on the situation during periods in which they do not. And, although an inactive intermittent fixed fixed fixation never took into account the registered strike, according to SEPE estimates, the increase in plaintiffs with labor relations led to an increase in the transparency of the department, directed by Iolanda Diaz.
In this scenario there were proposals to assess the potential impact of these people on unemployment indicators. The most famous is so called “formula”Effective unemployment“, Invented by Fededom more than two years ago.
The calculation seems to be relatively simple: last month, 747 046 applicants were busy, 224% more than 230,528 was scored six years ago. If we added them to a registered strike, it will grow from 2.4 million to 3.15 million people, which is 3.1% more. In 2019, this increase barely reached 7.6%, when a registered blow amounted to 3 million people, and “efficiently” exceeded 3.25 million.
In addition, if we compare the evolution in 2019 with four exercises with the reform in force (2022, 2023, 2024 and 2025 until June), we value, as after a strong increase in the first year, They continued to grow a lotField
In 2022, this trend began similarly to 2019. Although the first months still gained 16% (the pandemic effect, as we explain below), in June it was almost equated with data three years ago. However, suddenly it begins to increase. Cause? Dutchive fixed, which have just signed a contract They met unexpected “holidays”Field
This trend is repeated in subsequent years: the plaintiffs in labor relations begin to grow in July and August, they go a little in September and rise again from October to January next year, when they register their maximum. Behavior that shows that the seasonal volatility of these jobs not only decreased, but also This is intensifying.
How many intermittent fixed fixed unemployed?
But this model represents numerous edges. Despite the fact that the majority of plaintiffs in labor relations would be in oaks, the Ministry of Labor and Autonomous Communities refuse to indicate the exact figure. This is despite the fact that both the portfolio directed by Ioland Diaz is treated, it publishes him in his statistical year of year, as the average annual, as we said in Elecomonomista.es: in 2024 they were an average of 700,000 per month. But it is not even clear how much inactive, that is, they would be “hidden”.
And this is that the number of plaintiffs in employment does not coincide with other indicators of intermittent fixed devices that do not work, such as EPA microdates that encrypted them in less than 200,000. For their part, SEPE evaluates that people levy from unemployed for inactive, fixed fixed fixed. But also much lower than the number of plaintiffs in labor relations.
These discrepancies will be explained by great volatility: in the same month, hundreds of thousands of victims from inactivity and converting accumulate. Not to mention those who reject the call and consider resignation.
Rotation makes many registered as plaintiffs keep a lawsuit at the maximum when they perceived the unemployment manual that they perceive. Many do not quote enough to perceive anything and just register to get other employment offices. But this also affects the fact that demand is updated every three months: at that time, an intermittent fixed fixation could have chained several challenges (Especially if you work on ett)
Thus, a combination of very short periods of contributions and volatility of the periods of activity explains this low amount of advantages and influence on EPA (the data of which is collected within three months). A similar distortion occurs with storms, although in their ASO they are considered unemployed when stopping work.
Erte effect
In addition, there is an Erte effect: some have suffered from temporary employment regulation, which imply a reduction in working time, are considered “busy plaintiffs”, While those who are in the suspension will be plaintiffs in employment, for example, an intermittent fixed one. In 2019, they had a very small weight, only 1600.
But the pandemic caused these processes and deeply changed statistics: the reference data depended on social security, that is, they were measured in the branches, while the statistics published by SEPE do not explain the difference between the “occupied” plaintiffs and with “workers’ relations”.
Despite this, since the health crisis is over, Ertes of the pendants have a slightly higher and more unstable weight. In June, they amounted to 7600, but they barely suggest that 1.1% of the total number of candidates. However, if we go to the numbers of people who are charging unemployment for the fact that he was in Erte, They barely reach 2000 on average.
In any case, this does the number of plaintiffs in labor relations 2020, 2021 and the first months of 2022 It is not comparable to the following months, when its increase (and an increase in an effective strike) is clearly associated with the growth of intermittent fixed fixed after labor reform.
Thus, the effective unemployment in June 2025 is slightly lower than in 2019, 50,000 people, despite the fact that since then, has decreased more than 609,000 people since then. But cash only 93,000The key is the key in the fact that the plaintiffs at the employment scope shot at 517,000 people.
They are considered unemployed or not, these data show the problem with an inactive intermittent fixed fixed one, not so much in whether or not to make unemployment statistics, as despite the fact that these are uncertain jobs that have become In the source of unreliability in the labor marketField
