Since the beginning of the Russian invasion, the great objective of Joe Biden and his administration was do not collide directly with the Kremlin. The specter of nuclear war, so fanned by Vladimir Putin and his media, was about to become a reality. in October 2022after the Russian disasters of Kharkiv and Kherson, but the strong position of American diplomacy largely contributed to stopping the criminal intentions of the autocrat. However, the fear remained. The United States spent two years trying don’t step on any of the red lines that Moscow was preparing and arriving late to all Ukrainian demands.
It is impossible to know exactly what information US military intelligence processed during this period and, therefore, it is difficult to draw conclusions, but the truth is that Biden systematically devoted himself to refuse aid to Ukraine only to end up giving it to him when it was too late for the initial objective. This happened with the Patriot, with the HIMARS, with the F16, with the ATACMS and now with the decision to authorize its use on Russian soil to defend against attacks by the invader and prevent the intervention of thousands of North Korean soldiers in the conflict.
No one disputes the correctness of the decision. If Russia is the aggressor and also uses Chinese industry, Iranian drones and North Korean soldiers to mercilessly attack civilians on enemy soil, it would be legitimate that Ukraine could at least defend itself really with the weapons at their disposal. Until now, it has been a constant “yes, but…” that has prevented Zelensky and General Syrskyi’s army from avoid many of these attacks first hitting the bases from which they were preparing.
In fact, no matter what scandal Vladimir Putin and his propagandists are now making, both inside and outside Russia, the American authorization, which will be followed by that of other European powerslimited to military objectives and the goal is to avoid repeating the massacres that took place this Sunday throughout Ukraine. That said, if this decision was the right one and the United States apparently doesn’t realize that it will trigger a Third World War, what would happen?Why is it taken now and not when the Kyiv government asked for it??
The Zelensky-Biden meeting
After the Democratic defeat of November 5 and two months before Donald Trump took office and, presumably, limit aid to Ukraine To impose a peace beneficial to the interests of his admired Putin, Biden wanted to assume a leading role that does not belong to him. His decision not only irritates Moscow, which is logical and surprises no one, but bind your allies and this has not been agreed with the next administration, which will have to see how it resolves the diplomatic conflict.
American voters, whether they liked it or not, made the decision to support a candidate and a party that has gradually distanced itself from aid to Ukraine over the past year. If Biden considered this step important to take, he would have done it earlier, when the situation on the front was more balanced and North Korea had not yet deployed its troops. throughout the Kursk region. This is not a lightning attack, precisely, but rather a maneuver that has been publicized for weeks.
Using North Korean intervention as an excuse is therefore absurd. Zelensky met with Joe Biden at the White House on September 26. At that time, Kim Jong-un’s commitment to Putin’s military operation was already absolute. Despite this, The US president refused to grant the request from his Ukrainian counterpart while all the leaks indicated an affirmative answer. Zelensky came away very hurt from this meeting, where he explained one by one all the needs of his army and specific objectives that he was planning to bomb Russian territory.
An almost irrelevant advantage
In short, Biden’s decision is nothing more than the latest sign of a erratic management of the Ukrainian question. The United States, and therefore NATO, helped just enough so that Russia did not wander into the neighboring country… but also did not lose the war and did not get angry . In Washington, they did not welcome the attacks at the time. to Russian electricity infrastructure nor the intention to reach Crimea, mentioned during the failure of the counter-offensive in the summer of 2023.
The reasons, apparently, They were military: It was not advisable to waste ammunition on distant targets, it was publicly stated. Over time, it seems that the political intention to maintain good relations with Putin is also present. All this would be the same if, at least, This change of position would definitely help Ukraine. It’s unlikely. The scale of possible bombings will be limited and Russian and North Korean troops are already prepared and in their barracks, ready to defend themselves if necessary. All the effects of surprise and any capacity for deterrence have been lost. The situation on the front is worse than two months ago and there is no doubt that this will change.
Ukraine has settled a total defense of Donbass no counter-attack maneuver. The Russian advance is slow but steady. From south to north and east to west. In two months, Trump will almost certainly cancel this authorization, creating some confusion within NATO itself: will he allow more star That Ukraine will use the Storm Shadow if Trump disavows the use of ATACMS and HIMARS? Putin will be angrier just like the new American president.
There is an unwritten compact that a retiring administration cannot make major decisions that affect the future administration. Even less, in cases where the second has been pronounced categorically. Maybe Biden thought that If there was ever a time to provoke Putin, this was itwhen he doesn’t pay for Moscow to engage in forceful retaliation if he senses the next president is going to be more favorable to him. Now this is getting into the mind of a damn dictator… and not only is it dangerous, it’s no longer his job.
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