He Karl Rove, former President George W. Bush’s guruarchitect of the Republican victory strategy in 2000 and 2004, recognized this Tuesday on the Fox channel, presidential election daythat the former president Donald Trump even has a chance to win Virginia and New Mexico And New Hampshire. These states have voted Democratic in recent years. Virginia since 2008. New Mexico has a long tradition of voting Democratic. In the last 28 years, he only voted Republican in 2004. Then George W. Bush won. Meanwhile, in New Hampshire, Democrats have won in recent years. Bush only won in 2000 in the last 28 years.
These states voted Hillary Clinton in the 2016 electionWhen Trump won the election. “Obviously they saw in three states something that has not been seen generally, because in the last days of the campaign the former president of the United States went to Salem, Virginia, to Albuquerque , in New Mexico, and its partner ticket “I went to New Hampshire,” said Karl Rove of Donald Trump’s strategy in these presidential elections. In recent days, the Republican has traveled to Virginia and Mexico, instead of focusing on the swing states (Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin).
Karl Rove pointed out that Trump called the attention from New Mexico, border state with Hispanic voters. Rove saw the visit as a sign of Trump’s strength in swing states, where he has led in polling averages in recent weeks.
Donald Trump has led the polls in undecided states in recent weeks. Socket as a guide for investigations, Trump would win on the electoral vote, as he is leading in polls in Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. Meanwhile, Harris has taken the lead in recent days in Michigan and Wisconsin, three Blue Wall states (blue wall).
Using US polls in each state as a guide, Trump would win thanks to the electoral college system. Trump would win the election with 287 electoral votes. Harris would end up with 251 electoral votes.
He The electoral college system allows votes from certain states to have crucial weight in the election. Instead of winning directly by vote total, candidates must win strategic states to obtain the necessary 270 electoral votes. In 2016, it was precisely for this reason that Trump managed to defeat Hillary Clinton, obtaining a majority in key states, even though he lost the popular vote by almost three million votes.
In a hypothetical scenario for 2024, the situation could repeat itself. Despite Kamala Harris could get a large number of votes in heavily Democratic states like California and New YorkTrump could win if he consolidates in states with trickier balances, like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Florida. These states, known as Swing States or swing states, largely decide the outcome of elections and have shown that they can switch parties in any election. Trump won 62,984,828 votes. Hillary Clinton received 65,853,514 votes. Donald Trump obtained 46.1%. Hillary Clinton would get 48.2%.
