Debate about Presumably “excluded” standing Of the data published every month, the employment service of the state state is as old as the statistics itself, but has never been as intense as in recent years. This is no less, since the weight of those who are registered in offices that are not considered unemployed were not so high. They already make up to 42.5% of the total, its highest level of historical series, discounting the exceptional circumstances of the pandemic, And they also increase. Thus, if in June a registered blow fell by 6.1% a year -on 2.4 million, “Not working” increased by 5%, to 1.8 million peopleThe majority field, 1.2 million, busywhich gained an increase of 6.7%. But people also rise to work, which is not considered technically unemployed, up to 570 315.
Last month there was only 4.18 million plaintiffs are registered in public employment services1.6% less than a year ago. The descent should be connected exclusively by registered unemployed, since the rest of the groups, as we have already said, increase. This gave some suspicions that there is a deviation from the “hidden strike” from unemployment, especially since most of the occupied plaintiffs will be inscribed inactive duplications that are indicated in offices during the periods in which they do not work.
In their case, they are integrated into occupied plaintiffs “in labor relations”. Although the June data published on Wednesday does not break this category, we know that they are the most numerous. Of course, it is not entirely clear how many fixed intermittent ones, Since I work and autonomous communities refuse to indicate this by reproaching each otherThe reality field is such that the department sentWithout any advertising) In the annual labor statistics, which should not be very complicated to offer the amount of a month for a month.
The problem with the intermittent fixed, for purely statistical goals is that demand does not necessarily restore the re -equipment of activity (which occurs if unemployment benefits, if they charge it, which is automatically suspended). If they reject the call, and the company discharges them, theoretically, they become standing (although without the right to benefit). All of them suggest that we do not know how many registered responsibilities are really inactive, but how much they work and, Just keep high demandField
For their part, a group of unusual plaintiffs (for example, beneficiaries of an agricultural subsidy) or with special requirements, although less: 1.5%. But in any case, it is also anticiric behavior. At that time, this is still optimistic, with the creation of work, unused plaintiffs are developing in the opposite direction of the registered strike, not published. Even during the pandemic, when Ertes and restrictions They fired the team to exclusively overcome the unemployedThe field but the latter also grew strongly.
The repeating question is whether this evolution is related to the “manipulation” of figures or a structural change in the labor market. The first seems to have been discarded from the moment the general definition of groups excluded from unemployment is equally The ministerial order was published in 1985When it was already noted that inactive intermittent fixed fixed fixation will not be considered unemployed, maintaining active labor relations (even if they do not work).
It is true that over the past 40 years there have been small reviews and adjustments in the series (thus, the last comparable is mentioned in 2005) and that the order itself, in turn, authorized the government to publish detailed information about these exceptionsThe fact that the Diaza Cabinet refuses to do in the case of an intermittent fixed fixed one, despite the availability of data.
Hypothesis that lack data
An alternative to a deep change in employment seems to be easier to accept. On the one hand, labor reform caused an intermittent fixed fixed, characterized by volatility, which, according to some analysis, may exceed the use of storms, whose use was limited after the reform. This program will explain that many people who previously considered how it stops when their possible labor relations They no longer have a new contract, because in his case the connection with the company is only temporarily suspended. In fact, the occupied plaintiffs crossed from the assumption of 18% of plaintiffs to 28% of the pandemic today.
In the case of unusual plaintiffs, but excluded from unemployment, the volume corresponds to those who have limited availability or special requirements. This group includes those who have a suspended requirement for the passage of the courses or do not meet the requirements of unemployment, as well as those who are registered as a way to get assistance for independent employment. Also, those who, although striving for work, cannot be included in the manual.
This will mean that after the last reform of labor legislation approved in 2003, more people receive. In fact, its current weight among plaintiffs, 13%, is the highest of the series since 2005, when the transfer of the competence of the employment policy into autonomous communities has just completed, which led to the transformation of ancient implementation into current ones. Then he reached 16%.
Despite this, the lack of clarity in the diagnosis of statistics on work (which does not publish updated data on assessments of its active policy) prevents the deepening of what these figures really mean and to what extent to what extent They reflect significant changes in the labor market, which require a new measureSo Revision Of those that have already been approved.
