A week before the first round of Romania’s presidential election, conflicting opinion polls show that four or even five candidates still have a chance of advancing to the second round.
According to a survey conducted by AtlasIntel, the president of the opposition alliance Save Romania (USR) Elena Lasconi and president of the nationalist Alliance for the Unification of Romanians (AUR) George Simon each has support of around 14.2%. Either Lasconi or Simion could become rivals in the second round of the prime minister, leader of the Social Democrats (SDP) Marcel Ciolakwho will supposedly obtain 25.4% of the votes in the first round of the presidential elections.
According to AtlasIntel, it is possible that the speaker of Parliament and former prime minister, president of the National Liberal Party (PNL) Nicolae Ciuca He will be able to go to the second round, since his support is 10.2% of the votes.
Two other polls conducted last week predicted Chuke’s showdown with Colaku in the second round.
According to the Cira survey, Ciolaku will obtain 29% of the votes in the first round, Ciuke 19%, Simion 17% and Lasconi 16%, while the BCS survey shows Ciolaku with 27% support, Ciuke 18%. Lasconi, 14% and Simion, 12% of voters.
According to opinion polls, in all three surveys the former deputy secretary general of NATO Mircea Joanawho had already been identified as one of the main candidates for the presidency for a year and a half, is in fifth place with a result of less than 10%.
A fourth poll published by Inscop last week predicts a showdown between Ciolaku and Simion in the second round. According to Inscop data collected from November 7 to 12, the SDP candidate can count on 25.3% of the votes in the first round, while the AUR candidate can count on 19.1% of the votes. votes.
According to Inscop, Lasconi is in third place with 14.3%, followed by Mircea Geoana with 13.3%, while the candidate of the National Liberal Party, Nicolae Ciuca, is in fifth place with 9.1%.
The uncertainty about the outcome of the presidential elections in Romania is also aggravated by the very high proportion of people who have not yet decided who to vote for, according to the director of Inscop. Among those who promise to participate in the elections, 14% do so.
The first round of the presidential elections in Romania will be held on November 24 and the second on December 8. The next parliamentary elections will take place on December 1. The new head of state will take office on December 21, 2024.
