THE US Vice President Kamala Harris, Democratic candidate for the White House, once again takes a minimal advantage 1.7 points to former President of the United States Donald Trump, Republican candidate, according to the general average of surveys published this Wednesday in the United States. According to these polls, which reflect the general sentiment of voters in the United States, 19 days before the November 5 electionsHarris would obtain 49.2% of the favor of the electorate, while Trump would retain 47.5% of the vote, according to the general average of polls in the United States. On the other hand, it is an insufficient advantage for the Democrat to win the election, due to the distribution of electoral votes in each state and the Electoral college system. He must be at least three to four points ahead in the poll average to win. If the elections had taken place this Wednesday, Trump would have wonturning the United States map red with 302 electoral votes. 270 electoral votes are needed to win the White House. Meanwhile, Harris would have been left with 236 electoral votes.
In six of seven swing states (swing either Battlefield States), who are those who hold the key to the elections, Trump would surpass Harris, according to the latest polls. He is ahead of Harris by 0.7 points in the general average of polls for these states. With less than three weeks until the 2024 US presidential election, the race remains close: the latest Fabrizio/Anzalone poll highlights this trend in Michigan. Another Marketing Research Group poll shows Harris leading by one point. In the Michigan polling average, Trump leads by 0.9 points in the two-way race and by 0.3 points in the multi-party race.
In Pennsylvaniathe polls are just as close. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey offers Trump has a three-point leadwhile a New York Times/Siena poll gives Harris a 3-point lead in head-to-heads and a 4-point lead in several polls.
In Wisconsin, the only undecided state in which Harris leads in average pollshas a slight advantage of 0.3 points in the two-way race and 0.4 points in the course of several candidates. In the south, the race is just as close. The latest Trafalgar Group poll gives Trump a 2-point lead in North Carolina and Arizona. In Nevada, Trump took the lead in the average of the votes after the vote of The Wall Street Journal gave him a 6-point lead. In Georgia, the other southern swing state, Trump leads by 0.5 points in average polls.
This means that, according to the survey average, Trump would win the election with 302 electoral votesdue to the Electoral College systemas indicated previously. Meanwhile, Harris would get 236 votes. On the other hand, according to other polls, Trump would win these elections with 296 electoral votes.
As you can see in the graph aboveKamala Harris and Trump have been very close in the battleground states, which are the ones that hold the key to the election. He Kamala Harris Effect This lasted only a short time after Joe Biden announced his resignation.
States Harris Got
Colorado (10 electoral votes).
Illinois (19).
Washington (12).
California (54).
New Jersey (14).
new York (28).
Oregon (8).
Maine District 1 (1).
Maine (2).
Minnesota (10), even if some polls consider him undecided.
New Mexico (5).
Virginia (13).
Connecticut (7).
Delaware (3)
D.C.capital of Washington (3).
Hawaii (4).
Maryland (10).
Massachusetts (11).
Rhode Island (4).
Vermont (3).
States that Trump secured
Florida (30 electoral votes).
Ohio (17).
Texas (40).
Maine District 2 (1).
Alaska (3).
Iowa (6).
Kansas (6).
Missouri (10).
Mountain (4).
South Carolina (9).
Alabama (9).
Arkansas(6).
Idaho (4).
Indiana (11).
Kentucky (8).
Louisiana (8).
Mississippi (6).
Nebraska (4).
North Dakota (3).
Oklahoma (7).
South Dakota (3).
Tennessee (11).
Utah (6).
WV (4).
Wyoming (3).
undecided states
Arizona (11). Trump is leading in the polls. He leads Harris in six of seven swing states.
Georgia (16). Trump leads Harris in polls.
Michigan (15). Trump has broken the Democratic blue wall: he surpasses Harris in the polls.
Snowfall (6). Trump is now leading in the polls.
North Carolina (16). Trump surpasses Harris.
Pennsylvania (19). The state of Pennsylvania is the most populated of the undecided. He has 19 votes in the Electoral College. It is the most important state in this presidential race. Trump is in the lead, according to the latest polls.
Wisconsin (10). According to the latest polls, this is the only state in which Kamala Harris is ahead of Trump.
Some pollsters add to the previously mentioned seven New Hampshire (4) and Nebraska District 2 (1) to the list of undecided.
