The Vice President of the United States Kamala Harris, Democratic candidate for the White House, maintains two points ahead of the former President of the United States Donald Trump, Republican candidate, according to the poll average published this Saturday, which reflect the general sentiment of voters in the United States. 37 days before the November 5 electionsHarris would win 49.1% of the electorate’s favor, while Trump would remain at 47.1% nationally, according to the overall polling average. Democrats remain worried because electoral voting and the system winner takes all (vote winner wins statewide) They benefit Republicans: They know that Kamala Harris must beat Trump by at least 3% to win the White House. Some analysts even speak of 4%, because according to the average of this Saturday’s surveys, published in the battle states (Arizona, Snowfall, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin And Michigan), offer Trump a minimal advantage that makes one wonder if What happened in 2016 can be repeated: Hillary Clinton then lost the White House, although she won the popular vote by a difference of 2.8 million votes.
Trump the key this year is Pennsylvaniawhere Trump would win, according to the latest internal Democratic Party polls. According to the latest polls, Trump is leading on nine of the ten major campaign issues that matter most to voters, including the economy.
Donald Trump is leading in the average of some polls in recent days in swing states (Swing States), Arizona, Snowfall, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin And Michigan, which are the most important, because the rest is already decided in favor of the candidates.
37 days before the presidential electionspolls don’t provide much additional information about what might happen on Election Day. In the greatest and most important undecided state, PennsylvaniaIn all three polls released this week, Fox News, Susquehanna, Muhlenberg College and Rasmussen Reports, the race is tied. In others, Trump is ahead.
As you can see in the graph belowKamala Harris and Trump are virtually tied in battleground states, with the Republican leading by a minimal advantage. Harris fell in polls compared to Biden, but not enough to win.
Harris must win the famous mandatory blue wall (blue wall), Michigan, Wisconsin And Pennsylvaniatraditionally democratic strongholds, which during these elections are Swing States (undecided states), after Trump ousted them in 2016. Meanwhile, Trump, on the other hand, has more room because he can play with more combinations. North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona are insured. He can win Wisconsin, where the latest polls show Trump as the winner. He can get Pennsylvania, a traditional Democratic stronghold, which the former US president transformed into a swing state in 2016, as previously reported. Democrats don’t trust polls showing Kamala Harris ahead in Wisconsinwhere voters need a concrete economic plan, which Kamala Harris does not have. They are more convinced by Trump’s project with concrete measures such as lowering inflation or investment plans.
States Harris Got
Colorado (10 electoral votes).
Illinois (19).
New Jersey (14).
new York (28)
Oregon (8).
Maine District 1 (1).
Maine (2).
Minnesota (10).
New Mexico (5).
Virginia (13).
States that Trump secured
Florida (30 electoral votes).
Ohio (17).
Texas (40).
Maine District 2 (1).
Alaska (3).
Iowa (6).
Kansas (6).
Missouri (10).
Mountain (4).
South Carolina (9).
undecided states
Arizona (11). Trump is leading in the polls.
Georgia (16). Trump is leading in the polls.
Michigan (15). Kamala Harris has had minimal sales in opinion polls.
Snowfall (6). Kamala Harris is ahead, although it is not certain that Trump will lose this state.
North Carolina (16). Trump has overtaken Harris in the state in the latest polls, in which the Democratic vice president now leads.
Pennsylvania (19). The state of Pennsylvania is the most populated of the undecided. He has 19 votes in the Electoral College. It is the most important state in this presidential race. Harris is in the lead, according to the latest polls this Friday. The Harris-Walz campaign privately acknowledges that it could lose the state, which Biden narrowly won in 2020 and Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.
Wisconsin (10). Kamala Harris is leading in the polls. According to Democrats’ latest internal polls, Trump is outperforming Harris in the state, which would give him victory without needing Pennsylvania.
Some pollsters add to the previously mentioned seven New Hampshire (4) and Nebraska District 2 (1) to the list of undecided.
