Donald Trump’s presidency has the potential to generate profound changes in the United States thanks to the majority obtained by the Republicans in the Senate and the House of Representatives. Control of Congress will be essential for Trump to begin rolling out his entire agenda as soon as he arrives in the White House and, furthermore, he will have a Supreme Court with a conservative majority to act as arbiter.
The presidency alone gives Trump great decision-making capacity in American foreign policy and in relations with other countries, notably in the Ukrainian and Palestinian conflict. Just as Trump instigated his members of Congress to block aid to Ukraine for months, now as president he will have veto power, giving him the ability to further obstruct approval measurements. The North American administration will also be exposed to profound changes once Trump takes office, especially after ensuring that he will carry out a purge of the civil service.
With control of all three bodies, Trump will have a much easier time turning many of his proposals into law and also dismantling much of the legislation implemented by Democrats this term. Trump’s big issues for this legislature are to advance the conservative agenda and implement major tax cuts, as well as implementing the “largest in the history” of the country.
When Trump became president in 2017, he also did so with a winning trio in his first two years in office. Thanks to this, he was able to approve a tax reform that reduced corporate tax from 35% to 21%, in addition to lowering certain personal taxes. Many of these cuts expire in December 2025, and one of the mogul’s most repeated promises during this campaign is that he will extend the 2017 tax cuts, which seems more than guaranteed with the Republican majority in office. Parliament.
An analysis by the nonpartisan Institute on Tax and Economic Policy found that extending Trump’s 2017 tax cuts would disproportionately benefit higher-income households. By 2026, the highest-income 20% of Americans would have already received nearly two-thirds of the tax benefit generated, compared to just 1% for the lowest-income 20%.
Fear that Congress will approve abortion ban
There are also concerns that Congress could pass a federal ban on abortion. Trump’s constant changes in his stance on abortion give very little credibility to his promise not to abolish it. The Republican began the campaign by welcoming the repeal of the sentence of Roe v. Wadewho protected the right to abortion, thanks to the conservative judges he appointed to the Supreme Court. Behind the president-elect and the Republican Party lies an important actor entrance hall conservative who continues to work and push to completely roll back women’s reproductive rights.
On November 5, seven states approved constitutional amendments to protect the right to abortion following the repeal of the law. deer. However, if Congress dictates a ban at the federal level, these state protections would fall and depend on the extent to which each state is willing to engage in a legal battle with the federal government. In the history of United States constitutional law, there has been the possibility of a state striking down or invalidating a federal law that it considers unconstitutional under the Constitution. Since the US Constitution says nothing about the right to abortion, it would probably be the Supreme Court that would have to arbitrate this case. The same High Court that overturned deer.
One of the measures Trump promised to implement on his first day in the White House is the mass expulsion of migrants. The appointment of his “border czar”, Thomas D. Homan, to manage the border, is already a sign that the tycoon will get to work as soon as he takes the helm of the executive branch. Homan was one of the architects of the policy that separated migrant families at the U.S. southern border. More than 5,500 minors have been separated from their parents at the border with Mexico as part of its “zero tolerance” policy.
Now, border czars are useless without a budget line to mobilize all the agents and resources necessary for a grand project such as the “largest deportation in history” of the United States. With control of Congress, Trump could also manage to allocate funds to his plan to deport millions of undocumented migrants. In a recent interview on NBC, Trump assured that his plan to pursue migrants and deport them would have “no limit in terms of cost”: “It’s not a question of cost. “We really have no choice.” “When people have killed and murdered, if drug lords have destroyed countries, they will return to those countries because they will not stay there. »
The trans community will also suffer from the conservative agenda
Another group that will suffer from Trump’s conservative agenda will be the trans community, particularly youth and minors. During his campaign, Trump promised to impose drastic restrictions and roll back civil rights protections for trans students. His administration can quickly begin a major change: excluding trans students from Title IX protections, which affect school policies on student pronoun use, restrooms and locker rooms.
However, the Republican also faced difficulty passing certain regulations during the first two years of his first presidency, during which he also controlled Congress and the Senate. For example, his plan to repeal Obamacare failed when a senator from his own party, John McCain, refused to vote for it. He also failed to pass an infrastructure bill, as he had promised.
The narrow majority that Republicans have in both chambers, 53 seats out of 100 in the Senate and 218 out of 435 in the House of Representatives, could once again hold surprises for Trump in this legislature. Especially if he encounters skittish members of Congress again. Those who are in swing states and tend to have more moderate positions in order to appeal to voters of different stripes in their own districts might be most likely not to toe the mogul’s line.
In this scenario, the certification of the appointments that Trump recently made for his new cabinet, such as the ultra Matt Gaetz for attorney general, or the anti-vaccine Robert F. Kennedy, will be a test of the extent to which the Republicans will be loyal to the president and they will obey your wishes. The new leader of the Republican majority in the Senate, John Thune, although institutionalist, assured on Fox that he was committed to ensuring that Trump could keep his campaign promises. “If we fail to meet President Trump’s priorities, we will lose his support.” [el de los votantes]Thune said: “They entrusted us with their votes. “Now we have to roll up our sleeves and get to work. »
In the House of Representatives, given that the current speaker Mike Johnson managed to preserve the Republican majority and it is very likely that he will renew his mandate as speaker of the lower house. Johnson has become one of Trump’s key allies and will no doubt work together to advance his agenda as well. The only precedent that could call that loyalty into question is when he put to a vote the military aid to Ukraine that Trump was so instigated to block. A move that earned Johnson criticism from the most radical Republican caucus.
