In retrospect, we all would have done better than Carlos Mazón

To understand what happened on Tuesday October 29 in the Valencian Community, you have to watch an American film from 2016, Defile.

Sully, directed by Clint Eastwood and featuring Tom Hanksthis is the true story of the pilot Chesley ‘Sully’ Sullenbergwho on January 15, 2009, US Airways Flight 1549 landed on the Hudson River in New York after a flock of geese collided with the plane’s engines three minutes after takeoff.

Sully’s feat made him a hero in the United States, but only until National Transportation Safety Board investigated the accident and decided that Sully could have landed safely at LaGuardia or Teterboro airports since one of its two engines continued to idle.

The simulations, carried out by professional pilots, proved the Council right.

But Sully then asked that these simulations, carried out by pilots knowing all the details of the accident, a posteriori and that they could have caused the scenewere performed again, subtracting the seconds it took him and his co-pilot to realize what had happened and make the necessary checks.

The simulations were rerun, subtracting the 35 seconds it would have taken a professional pilot to check the condition of the plane, and ended in failure.

The film shows that in the end, we all would have done better than the person who faced this situation in real life. In the simulator, We are all aviation aces and we always opt for the best possible option..

The lynching of which he is a victim Carlos Mazon by the government and its associated media has a lot of simulation a posteriori. Given what we know today, any politician from PSOE, Sumar or Podemos would have done better than Mazón. But Mazón himself would have done better..

Silvia Intxaurrondo wrote in a few hours.

In reality, everything that is said in this program is “extreme caution”, which is the same thing that is said when temperatures exceed thirty degrees in August. Saying “be very careful” or “drink lots of water” means nothing. But it helps Silvia Intxaurrondo to insinuate that she already knew it at 8 a.m. on Tuesday the 29th. that a mud tsunami would devastate Paiporta and the rest of the towns in the region.

Obviously this is a hoax. Pure media populism serving the interests of the government of Pedro Sanchez. These are the same interests (generously paid in fact) which are now propelling the demonstrations against the government of Carlos Mazón.

Please review the timeline of events described today. Alberto Prieto In The Spanish and try to identify when you would have done something different from what Mazón did.

At 12:29 p.m., the Generalitat issued a rain alert. This alert has not been deactivated today. Not even when the flow rates of the Poyo ravine began to decrease nor when AEMET, dependent on the Ministry of Ecological Transition, reported the storm would shift northward at 6 p.m..

At 6 p.m., the information available to the Valencian Generalitat was that Flows in Poyo Ravine were within normal limits and the storm was moving away from the area..

This situation, that of intense rains, but decreasing, and with normal flow rates, is repeated thousands of times every year throughout Spain.

But, according to the government, Carlos Mazón should have issued a warning for catastrophic events at that time. Would you have activated it? A posterioriand knowing what happened next, the answer is yes.

But it is an advantageous answer. The reality is no. That no one would have activated it. Because at that moment, there was no indication that anything extraordinary could happen.

Everything changes at 6:43 p.m. But not in the sense that it has been explained in most media. At this time, an email is received from Integrated Hydrological Information System (SAIH) of the Poyo ravine, dependent on the Hydrographic Confederation of Júcar, warning that the flow is 1,686 m3 per second.

An email. “For your information, the flood is very fast.” That’s what the email says.

At that time, the mud tsunami had already reached Paiporta and flooded the streets and garages. But no one had this information at CECOPI (Integrated Operational Coordination Center), because it was happening in real time.

At 7:33 p.m., the Hydrographic Confederation of Júcar warns that the Forata dam risks breaking. Over the next few minutes, and given that decisions in this forum must be made “by consensus,” the situation is discussed and the data is analyzed.

At 8:00 p.m., the Secretary of State for the Environment, Hugo Moranwho is in Colombia, calls to warn that the dam could break.

At 8:00 p.m. the alert was decided and at 8:11 p.m. it reached the cell phones of the Valencians. The alert is issued due to the possibility of dam failure, and not due to the overflow of the Poyo ravine, the severity of which is not known at present.

I don’t buy the biggest one. That is to say the thesis according to which Carlos Mazón ignored it, for reasons that no one explains, opinions sold as clear and explicitbut that at no time before 8 p.m. did they communicate the seriousness of the situation.

Could Carlos Mazón have given the alert at 7:00 p.m. based on an email saying “for information, the flooding is very rapid”? Yes of course. And Sully could have reacted in tenths of a second, turned around and landed at LaGuardia or Teterboro. In the simulator, all endings are happy.

The time between the Poyo Ravine Integrated Hydrological Information System (IAHS) email and the alarm being issued is the 35 seconds requested by Chesley ‘Sully’ Sullenberg. Those that everyone needs to analyze the situation, examine the data, assess its severity and make a decision.

In retrospect, we are all Intxaurrondo. In real life we ​​are all Mazón.