You are right: the presidential elections in some ways overshadow other elections that are almost as important. Voters not only elect their president (through the electoral system), but they also vote for senators and elected representatives of the House of Representatives.
We’ve been talking about it regularly on this livestream for three weeks, most recently yesterday at 6pm, but we’ll be happy to give you our decryption below… 👉
In 2024, 34 of the 100 senatorial seats will be renewed, as well as the 435 seats in the House of Representatives. The current majorities are very small in both chambers: Democrats control the Senate with 51 votes and Republicans control the House of Representatives with 220 votes. They could well be reversed on November 5, a scenario unprecedented in contemporary American history, which would have significant consequences on the future administration’s room for maneuver. If Donald Trump manages to be re-elected, the United States could even see a triple twist (“triple investment »).
The situation in the Senate and the following votes. Of the 34 senatorial seats up for grabs, 23 are occupied by Democrats, including some in states considered more favorable to Republicans by electoral institutes.
The Cook Political Report identifies seven local races with incumbent Democratic elected officials that could shift the balance of power (in Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio and Montana) and two races with Republican incumbents (in Texas and Nebraska).
The situation in the House of Representatives and the following votes. Of the 435 local ballots, there are only a handful that are truly “competitive”says the Associated Press, which focuses on “those races that will help determine the balance of power” in the lower house of Congress.
Republicans will try to retain 16 seats in districts that voted for Joe Biden in 2020, particularly on the New York and California coasts. The Democrats, if they manage to keep their current seats, will only need to take four from the Republicans to become the majority.
For those who want to follow these important elections (very) closely but are still a little hidden by the presidential elections, we advise you to follow the result of the 2my District of Maine, 8my District of Pennsylvania and the 3rdmy district in Washington, DC, where Democratic incumbents can be defeated. The elected Republicans of the 4thmy District of New York, 1d Arizona District, 2my district of Nebraska and the 13thmy California’s congressional district is in the same situation.
