Two years after the start of the full-scale war, the dynamics of Western support for kyiv are losing momentum: newly committed aid has decreased during the period from August 2023 to January 2024 compared to the same period the previous year , according to the latest report from the Kiel Institute, published in February 2024. And this trend could continue, as the US Senate struggles to approve aid and the European Union (EU) has had a hard time getting 50 thousand million adopted on 1Ahem February 2024, due to the Hungarian blockade. Please note that these two aid packages are not yet taken into account in the latest evaluation by the Kiel Institute, which ends in January 2024.
Data from the German institute show that the number of donors is decreasing and is concentrated in a core of countries: the United States, Germany, the countries of northern and eastern Europe, which promise both high financial aid and advanced weapons. In total, since February 2022, countries supporting kyiv have committed at least 276 billion euros on a military, financial or humanitarian level.
In absolute terms, the richest countries have been the most generous. The United States is by far the largest donor, with more than €75 billion in aid announced, including €46.3 billion in military aid. European Union countries announced both bilateral aid (€64.86 billion) and joint aid with European Union funds (€93.25 billion), for a total of €158.1 billion.
When we relate these contributions to the gross domestic product (GDP) of each donor country, the ranking changes. The United States has fallen to twentieth place (0.32% of its GDP), far behind Ukraine’s neighbors or friendly former Soviet republics. Estonia leads aid to GDP with 3.55%, followed by Denmark (2.41%) and Norway (1.72%). The rest of the top 5 is completed by Lithuania (1.54%) and Latvia (1.15%). The three Baltic states, which share borders with Russia or its ally Belarus, have been among the most generous donors since the start of the conflict.
In the GDP percentage ranking, France occupies twenty-seventh place, having committed 0.07% of its GDP, just behind Greece (0.09%). Aid provided by Paris has been steadily declining since the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine: France ranked twenty-fourth in April 2023 and thirteenth in the summer of 2022.