In a few days for the US Presidential Election Day, Donald Trump remains ahead in the polls with a slight lead. However, if surveys can serve as a guide, Trump would win the election, due to the Electoral College system with 287 electoral votes. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris would get 251 electoral votes. Like every four years, the key is in the undecided states (Swing States). This year, the battleground states are Arizona, Snowfall, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan And Wisconsin. At least 60 million people have already voted in advance. Battleground states are breaking or surpassing their early voting records. Following, A series of keys are listed for November 5.
Moderate. Kamala Harris targeted moderate voters who have previously voted for Donald Trump and the Republican Party in these US elections. However, his lack of explanation about his financial plans prevented him from attracting their attention. In practice, they have been waiting since September 10, the date of the debate against Donald Trump, for him to explain in detail his plans to improve the economy and reduce inflation.
Michigan Arabs. This group of voters in the swing state of Michigan, which traditionally votes Democratic, holds one of the keys to this election. Until 2004, they traditionally voted for the Republican Party. Then to the Democrats. Instead, they have gradually returned to the Republican Party in recent years. Kamala Harris tried to woo them after defending anti-Israel protests on American college campuses. On the other hand, it is a socially conservative group and has distanced it from the Democratic Party with its progressive policies such as the right to abortion or all its proposals in favor of the LGTBIQ+ community, especially with regard to policies trans.
African American voters. Mainstream polling suggests Harris has fallen out of favor with African-American male voters. According to polls, these voters will support Democrats, but not with the overwhelming majority that did for former President Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012. Some indicators indicate that new generations of African-American voters are more conservative.
Latino voters. Latino voters are gradually turning to the Republican Party. Kamala Harris polled Hispanic voters again. Harris recorded historic lows, observed when analyzing polls in Arizona and Nevada, two undecided states with large Latino populations. Male voters in these two states trust Trump because they prefer that he address the issues that concern them most in this campaign: the economy, illegal immigration, border insecurity and crime.
In the 2020 elections, Trump made big gains among this electorate in South Florida and South Texasmajority-Latino places that had given Democrats an advantage for years.
Trump’s gains in 2020 continued among Republican candidates in the 2022 midterm elections for Congress. According to polls, the Republican Party will retain at least the support of the Latino vote in congressional elections.
