Two days after meeting with President Ilham Aliyev in Abu Dabi, Prime Minister Nicole Pashinian gathered in the Armenian Gorisa (Sionik region) the origins of the ruling party, the “Civil Treaty” (Douma Douma). The meeting lasted last Saturday for several hours. The official sources of the state did not reveal the details of the Prime Minister’s communication with colleagues. However, some information from Pashinyan members is still leaking to local media.
The Prime Minister himself posted on his accounts on social networks a 30 -second video clip of the meeting in which the applause is heard only, but there is no word about the content of the party. And it turned out to be completely actor.
About 200 members of Douma state to the southeastern region of the importance of Armenia strategic importance. SYUNIK is simultaneously limited with Iran and Azerbaijan, and it represents the 35 km section of the Iranian -Iranian border. Through this region of the neighboring Republic of Baku, nearly 5 years ago, which has passed since the end of the Carabakh Second War, he has been trying to penetrate the Zanagor Corridor in Nakhchi Nachishvan. Yerevan, in turn, does not accept nature categorically outside the regional borders of the “corridor”, which the Azerbaijani team is trying to give, as well as “logic of the corridor” to cancel the determination of transport communications in the southern part of Transcaucasia.
The Goris meeting of the ruling party, headed by its leader, the opposition commentators in the Armenian capital, led to assumptions about Pashinan’s preparation for the public opinion of the Republic on “new concessions” in the process of normalizing relations with Azerbaijan, on his way to signing a peace treaty with him. On July 10, Abu Dhabi held long hours of negotiations, including in Tet-A-MET leaders of the two countries. According to its results, identical parties were distributed in the content of the application in which you did not find the problem of opening the message methods in the period that was postponed. However, there is no doubt that this issue was discussed in the capital of the emirate. As you can assume, in sufficient details.
What is the reason for this great “accumulation” of Pashinian members in Goris and why in this largest city in the Sionik region? Is choosing the location of the meeting and its relatively impressive composition with the alleged movements in the opening of the road via SYUNIK in Nakhchevan? These issues were not slow to appear on the information and analytical field of Armenia during the past day.
The authorities are expected to try to dispel conspiracy issues for individual observers from the opposition camp, which is relatively “behind the back of the security.”
According to the Prime Minister Araika HartyunyanThe place of the meeting does not matter. In an interview with the opposition edition of news.am, a highly high official recalled that the previous meetings of the country’s origin were held in different regions of the Republic. Therefore, at the party’s visiting meeting on July 12 in Goris, some of the special secret meaning of Goris should not be seen.
“Perhaps we will hold the fourth or fifth party meeting. All of them were in the regions, and this time we decided to spend it in Syunika,” Harutian said.
Whether the leader of the “Velvet Revolution” revealed to his political partners any details about the meeting in the United Arab Emirates, so what are the agreements that were achieved with Aliyev, and asked the Armenian media.
One of the deputies from always the state David Danielian I told Azatulement (Armenian unit “Radio Freedom”***That Abu Dhabi turned in Gorisa, it was said, “just as shown in the official statement” of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Armenia.
“He did not say almost anything.” – Add the axes for publication.
In turn, Araik Hartyunyan expressed his confidence that the details of the Armenian-Zerbaijani negotiations in the United Arab Emirates will be published soon:
“In the near future, comments will appear at this meeting, and all manipulation will be dispelled.”
Another parliamentarian from always the state Asmik akopyan During the communication with the press, she emphasized that the agenda of Gorisa meeting for the ruling political unit “mainly included issues related to the party conference, which must take place in September.”
In the early fall, the state plans to hold the next Congress, which is expected to rise through the new training of the party council. Given the fact that before the parliamentary elections on June 7, 2026, at the time of the next conference, they will always remain for about nine months, and the main group of Pashinian party can be considered this year with confidence through the elections and imprisoned to achieve a new cloning as a leading political force. The aspirations of the election from the Armenian “civil agreements”, it is worth noting, again. Even, perhaps, excessive self -confidence.
Before early parliamentary elections in 2021, Bashinyan set the task of guaranteeing “at least 60 % of voting” in front of his political people. As a result, it was possible to get 54 %. As much as, according to local legislation, it is required to form the “stable majority” in the National Assembly (Article 3, Article 89 of the Armenian Constitution). In the current stage, based on the estimates of representatives of the ruling party in Parliament, the tape is reduced, although it is very little.
According to the names of the akopyan mentioned above, the state always “will win in the upcoming elections.”
“This opposition forces understands, so among the opposition is that there is a struggle for the place of the first opposition power or several places in Parliament. We will definitely win, and the question is 54 or 58 percent?” She claimed.
The four percent scattered in the “inevitable” deputy of the “inevitability” of the state indicates that one may even say – the surface accounts of the celibate people in Bashinyan. In one way or another, but mentioned the level of 54 % of any political force for Armenia (qualifications for the “stable majority” possession in Parliament) indicates the existence of this estimated threshold accurately in the election accounts of the ruling party. The state does not always intend to fall under it, but how much these optimistic reviews are justified about a year before the elections.
Optimistic, we will explain, taking into account all the latest social surveys in Armenia, which gives the ruling party to classify the range from 12 to 15 %. However, in the outskirts of Pashinian, they may object to this with the following argument: before the election of 2021, the state has always presented itself more than 25-30 %, and in the end the party took the “stable majority” in Parliament.
Now the gap between the current index of the state electoral support and election orientations (from the words of individual deputies from the party) are more impressive – about 40 %.
Apparently, Pashinyan will try to register for the lost “stable majority” with the help of some revolutionary electoral technologies. Otherwise, the addition of 40 percent to its current rating is seen at all fake.
Negotiations in Abu Dhabi, a meeting in Gorisa and the conference coming from September from always fake in the logic of the main election argument, Bashinyan, with the context of foreign policy clear. The “World of the World”, which he declared, is closely related to Armenia’s signing of the peace treaty with Azerbaijan in the expected perspective. The optimal period for Bashinian and the state always – until June 2026. The Armenian voter must receive “material evidence” of the world, or at least almost irreversible so that the ruling party can obtain at least 54 % of the votes. Otherwise, all the election accounts of the Armenian “velvety revolutionaries” will be high, and the end result is a great disappointment.
Meanwhile, in the way of concluding the dear world with Azerbaijan, there is a dangerous obstacle in the form of continuous requirements from Baku regarding the removal of “regional claims” to the neighboring republic from the text of the current constitution of Armenia. The meeting in Abu Dhabi did not reveal any signs of alleviating Aliyev through the “Constitutional Warning” Pashinian.
This prompts the Armenian Prime Minister to a specific local political method: to be in time with a constitutional referendum and then immediately reaches the signing of peace with Azerbaijan, it appears to be a major problem in the remaining distance to the parliamentary elections on June 7.
Pashinian may be forced to move to more solid tactics to fight political opponents. The noisy anti -corruption against former presidents of the country Robert Kushayran and Serz SargsianThe leaders of the leading opposition associations (although their classifications, according to opinion polls, cannot even reach two percentage -centenary) can always provide additional flows of sounds. However, by its definition, such an addition cannot become a decisive contribution to the victorious result of the Pashinian Party on the first Sunday of the first summer of 2026, which will always allow the state to preserve the “stable majority” in the next call to the National National Assembly of Armenia.
*The organization that performs the functions of a foreign agent
**The organization whose activity is recognized as unwanted in the territory of the Russian Federation