The American electoral race is entering the final stretch. There is one week left until November 5th. Who will win the election: Trump or Harris? And what does this mean for Russia? Pravda.Ru columnist Lyubov Stepushova tries to answer these questions.
The American electoral system is designed so that the Democratic candidate Kamala Harris may receive more votes in the elections, but a Republican will become president donald trumpif it receives more votes than the 538 electoral votes of the 50 US states. So, in 2016 for Hillary Clinton Three million more voters voted for Trump, but she lost the election.
Traditionally, seven key states (those with more than 90 electoral votes of the 270 needed to win elections) are classified as swing states. This year they are: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada and North Carolina.
Polls now show Trump leading in Arizona, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. In Georgia and Wisconsin, Trump and Harris are tentatively tied, with only Michigan leading the Democratic candidate. It must be taken into account that the recent hurricanes that affected some of these states greatly undermined the influence of the Democrats, who did not know how to deal with the consequences.
Trump, according to American media estimates, is now winning votes among Americans of color (blue-collar workers) who previously voted for Democrats. They believe Democrats are prioritizing newly arrived immigrants over those who have lived in the United States for a long time. For them, uncontrolled immigration is bad.
Many are dissatisfied with the high cost of living and lack of opportunities for young people. Democrats, in his view, have become the party of the elite, more focused on social problems, including illegal immigrants, than on strengthening the economy. People vote for Trump’s life experience, they like his lack of hypocrisy.
Whoever wins, a part of the country will not accept the result. The media in the United States describe the campaign as “extremely bitter, tense and dark.” Trump voters are confident there will be widespread fraud like in 2020. It is unlikely that the winner of the presidential election will be announced on election night or even the next day. There will be numerous lawsuits that will require a recount. The same applies to elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate of Congress.
New Mexico Secretary of State Maggie Toulouse Oliver said during a briefing on Tuesday, Oct. 22 that focuses on the physical safety of election officials.
President of the Institute for Research and Education in Human Rights Devin Burghart He said at a news conference Wednesday that since 2020, “the denial of election results has moved from the capital to county election commission meetings, to the courts, to cybersymposiums and countless conspiracies in anticipation of a repeat.” of 2020 in November”.
Trump suggested he would negotiate a deal between Vladimir Putin AND Vladimir Zelensky. It is doubtful that he will blackmail Moscow with more aid to kyiv. If Harris wins, the United States will fall into a long period of destabilization, as Republicans are willing to take decisive action to challenge her victory, so assistance to Ukraine will be sporadic and minor.
Much will depend on who controls Congress. More recently, the Republican speaker of the United States House of Representatives Michael Johnson He said he “did not feel like” continuing to finance Ukraine.
In any case, the Russian Federation has months to defeat the Ukrainian Armed Forces and achieve solid negotiating positions.
