THE three great Irish games they are heading towards a tight end in the 2024 general elections, according to exit poll results was held this Friday. He Sinn Féinultra-leftists heirs of IRA terroristsis the party which is slightly ahead of the other two, the two traditional formations of a country which has until now adopted two-party politics:
- Fianna Fail: It is the hegemonic center-right party of the Republic since independence.
- End Gaël: the traditional opposition, the conservative and right-wing Christian Democrats; First defender of the treaty with the British, then member of the European People’s Party.
The political wing of the IRA terrorists, Sinn Féin, arrived at these elections very weakened, due to the numerous scandals revealed in recent monthssuch as the cover-up by some members of the far-left party of allegations of sexual assault and abuse of minors.
The results of this Israeli poll are as follows: Sinn Féin would win very narrowly with 21.1%; Fianna Fáil would get 19.5% and Fine Gael 21%. The Green Party would get 4%; Work, 5%; the social democrats, 5.8%, Solidarity-People before profit 3.1%; Aontú 3.6%; Independents/others 14.6%; and independent Ireland by 2.2 percent, according to results published by Irish Times.
If these results are confirmed when the votes are counted this Saturday, it is very likely that a coalition between Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael will govern again. No party alone would obtain more than 40 seats, so the possibility of a new coalition becomes inevitable. Remember that the two traditionalist conservative parties, Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael, have already ruled out joining a Sinn Féin executive, making it unlikely that the winning party will govern.
This would be the second time in a row that Sinn Féin has won an electoral majority, but it is so small that it is left without a government as it is well short of the majority needed to reach government.
In any case, the two parties that would form the government would need a third party to do so, since they would not both have 50% of the votes. The formation of a government could be the subject of fierce negotiations with several players involved: the Labor Party, the Green Party, the Social Democrats and perhaps some left-wing independents (even if the Social Democrats have clearly been reluctant to the idea over the last decade). campaign) are being played out between the Irish executive after the elections.
Regardless, given that the new Parliament (Dáil in Ireland) resulting from these elections is not expected to be formed until December 18, it seems unlikely that a new government will be formed before the start of the new year .
