Former US President Donald Trump and THE United States Vice President Kamala Harris is tied, according to the general average of surveys in the United States published this Tuesday. According to these polls, which reflect the general sentiment of voters in the United States, the Election Day November 5Trump and Harris would be tied: they would obtain 48.5% of the vote. Instead, Trump would win the election. Using US polls in each state as a guide, Trump would win thanks to the electoral college system. Trump would win the election with 287 electoral votes. Harris would end up with 251 electoral votes.
He Former US President Donald Trump has had an advantage over Harris in swing states for days. This Tuesday, election day, according to the latest American polls, Trump is in the lead in five of the seven contested states. In the general average of American polls for these states, he is ahead of Harris by 0.9 points. Trump leads in Pennsylvania (0.3 points), North Carolina (1.5 points), Georgia (1.7 points), Arizona (2.7) And Nevada (1). Meanwhile, Kamala Harris leads in Wisconsin (0.4) and Michigan (0.6). This small margin is enough for Trump to surge in the electoral vote and win the presidency.
Who will win the US elections: what the polls say
Arizona
During the first party registrations: the Republicans increased by eight points. Compared to 2020: the Republicans gained nine points. Early voting in the Grand Canyon State ended on November 1. Among male voters, 50% chose Trump. Meanwhile, 40% in Harris.
Georgia
Early and absentee voting participation among African Americans fell 7%. This state has a Republican tradition.
Michigan
In the Great Lakes region state, the Trump campaign has data that more than 2.58 million voters out of more than seven million people registered to vote have already cast ballots.
North Carolina
The Republicans gain one point in terms of registered voters. Nine points from 2020. According to polls, Trump has an advantage in the Old North State. About 4.4 million early votes were rejected out of the approximately 7.8 million registered voters in North Carolina. There are 1,478,496 registered Republican voters, 1,436,861 Democrats and 1,524,094 independents, according to data from the University of Florida Election Lab.
Snowfall
Republicans gain four points in early voting. They are up eight points compared to 2020. 42% voted for Harris and 52% for the Republicans.
States Harris Got
Colorado (10 electoral votes).
Illinois (19).
Washington (12).
California (54).
New Jersey (14).
new York (28).
Oregon (8).
Maine District 1 (1).
Maine (2).
Minnesota (10), even if some polls consider him undecided.
New Mexico (5).
Virginia (13).
Connecticut (7).
Delaware (3)
D.C.capital of Washington (3).
Hawaii (4).
Maryland (10).
Massachusetts (11).
Rhode Island (4).
Vermont (3).
States that Trump secured
Florida (30 electoral votes).
Ohio (17).
Texas (40).
Maine District 2 (1).
Alaska (3).
Iowa (6).
Kansas (6).
Missouri (10).
Mountain (4).
South Carolina (9).
Alabama (9).
Arkansas(6).
Idaho (4).
Indiana (11).
Kentucky (8).
Louisiana (8).
Mississippi (6).
Nebraska (4).
North Dakota (3).
Oklahoma (7).
South Dakota (3).
Tennessee (11).
Utah (6).
WV (4).
Wyoming (3).
undecided states
Arizona (11). Trump is leading in the polls.
Georgia (16). Trump leads Harris in polls.
Michigan (15). Harris now leads in opinion polls.
Snowfall (6). Trump has an advantage over Harris in the polls.
North Carolina (16). Trump surpasses Harris.
Pennsylvania (19). The state of Pennsylvania is the most populated of the undecided. He has 19 votes in the Electoral College. It is the most important state in this presidential race. Trump leads Harris, according to latest polls.
Wisconsin (10). Harris leads Trump in the state, according to the latest polls.
Some pollsters add to the previously mentioned seven New Hampshire (4) and Nebraska District 2 (1) to the list of undecided.
When will we know who won the election?
In SpainDue to the time difference, the first results of the US elections will begin to arrive during the early morning of Wednesday, November 6. Early screenings in key states such as Georgia And Caroline of the North appear shortly after polling centers close, while in Western states like California And Alaska Results will take longer to arrive. Thus, the first indications on the progress of the election evening could be known in Spain between 2:00 a.m. and 3:00 a.m. on November 6, especially if the results in states like Georgia or North Carolina are conclusive from the outset. However, in other states like Nevada and Arizona, where the count is slower, it may take even longer to get clarification.
For his part, Trump said it was “the best” of the three campaigns he ran. Separately, he continued to express frustration over the time the vote count could take, despite investment in vote counting machines, citing the example of the French elections which he said yield results quickly. He has used this question repeatedly to question the speed of the counting process and cast doubt on the integrity of the American electoral system.
