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The explosion of an unmanned airplane in the village of Osini, in Lubels, Poland, on Tuesday evening on Wednesday, is another episode in the shadow of war raging in Ukraine since 2022. The problem is not only in Poland, but also in all eastern waters of the eastern waters.
Similar incidents were registered in other countries: in February 2024 and 2025, three Russian drones of Shahad exploded in Moldova, while in September 2024 Russian drones violated the airspace of Latvia and Romania. “Three years ago, these incidents will be considered unthinkable, today they are considered as a routine,” the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Lithuania Gabrieli Lancbergis commented on X, calling for a more decisive NATO reaction.
Military analyst Andrei Kinsky, speaking with Euronews, according to estimates, although these incidents should not be underestimated, the level of direct risk for the civilian population in Poland remains limited: “Over the more than three years of the war, we had some such incidents and two victims. Each human life is invaluable, but the risk is not high. ” While he notes that in the conflict, during the field, during the field. Counted for possible.
The explosion in aspen caused political reactions. Vice President and Minister of Defense Vantislav Kosineik-Kammi spoke about the “Calling of Russia”. Kinsky keeps the reservation: “Based on the elements that we know, I cannot say for sure that it is Russian or any other challenge.” According to the latest information from the prosecutor’s office in Lublin, the drone seemed to come from Belarus, not being clear, who sent him or for what purpose.
The incident also identified the boundaries of the Polish radar. Lieutenant General Darius Malinovsky admitted that the drone flew at a very low altitude so that he would not be found. Kinsky explains that during the world, the continuous area of observation begins with 3000 meters, and below this threshold there are “blind spots”. Even with additional installations, the full cover of the border is almost 900 kilometers.
It is expected that in 2027 Poland will receive a gasket system in Barbar at a price of about 960 million dollars, which will survive on the eastern and north -eastern border. Nevertheless, Kinsky seems to be careful with its effectiveness in the war, since this is a “vulnerable goal”.
The study of the case in Osini continues, but the chances of complete clarification are limited. Similar incidents in the past, such as a rocket in Netheodov in 2022 or the search for missile garbage near Bingush in 2023, did not lead to public conclusions.
NATO Secretary -General Mark Rutte for a joint press conference with Volodimyr Zelensky, assured the alliance with Poland and emphasized that NATO was “closely following” the incident, expressing solidarity with the Warst.
The tension in this area remains high, and, as Kinsky notes, such episodes will probably continue, since the war in Ukraine lasts.