Less than a hundred days before the elections, the German Greens are beginning to dream of a coalition they would form with the conservatives of the CDU, currently the favorite in the polls for the early elections next February. This hypothesis fueled all the conversations in the halls of the party congress in Wiesbaden, on Saturday, November 16 and Sunday, November 17. This met to present Robert Habeck, current 55-year-old vice chancellor and minister of economy and climate, as an official candidate.
The legislative elections must be held on February 23, 2025 in Germany, six months before the scheduled date, after the chancellor, the social democrat Olaf Scholz, dissolved his tripartite coalition in power since 2021 on November 6, by dismissing his finance minister. , the liberal Christian Lindner. This shortened calendar imposes an accelerated campaign on the parties, pushing them to already build alliance scenarios with a view to governing, although no political group has yet formally decided on its campaign program.
As the conservatives of the CDU and their candidate, Friedrich Merz, lead the voting intention, with between 30% and 32% of the votes, all hypotheses are being considered for the coalition that will take power in Berlin within three months –with the exception of an alliance with the extreme right, the second political force in the country according to surveys. The Social Democrats of the SPD currently obtain between 15% and 16% of voting intentions, compared to 10% and 12% for the Greens, a relatively small difference that gives wings to the latter. A coalition combining conservatives and social democrats would lead “status quo” already “immobility”, “said Robert Habeck on Sunday, during his candidacy speech, estimating that this type of configuration the country owes, for example, its dependence on Russian gas, a choice that dates back to the CDU-SPD coalitions of the Merkel years .
A reformist line
The Greens claim to have taken advantage of the breakup of the outgoing coalition, claiming 11,000 new members in one week and more than 700,000 euros in microdonations, a record amount according to party officials. “The Greens need to gain a few more points and can become coalition partners of the CDU, explains Wolf-Christian Bleek, pulmonologist and Bavarian delegate. We saw that a three-way coalition did not work. The problem is that Merz is not nice…”
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