For the first time, the deputies elected almost three months ago will sit in their group and in their respective places, on Tuesday 1Ahem October, on the occasion of Michel Barnier’s general policy declaration. The image will surely leave its mark. The Macronist camp, dominant since the 2017 elections (with 360 deputies at that time), is now very tight in the halls of the chamber, with 165 elected officials located between the left-wing and extreme right blocs. Furthermore, the first regular session of the new legislature promises to be particularly difficult to achieve.
Michel Barnier has not yet revealed his legislative program, but his room for maneuver is limited in a National Assembly where his government, in theory, only has the support of a third of the deputies. Sufficient reason for Matignon to announce on Monday, September 30, that Michel Barnier will not submit to the vote of confidence of the national representation.
Another fact clouds its future: the vote on the finance laws between now and December 31. The imposed figure for the budget debate crushes the parliamentary calendar for the coming months. It is impossible to escape divisions on fiscal matters as the government tries to stop the slide in public finances in a tight time frame. Tension could increase as the repeated uses of article 49.3 of the Constitution – which allows the adoption of a text without a vote – accumulate, which everyone already anticipates. “Michel Barnier does not have a majority. “Let him focus now on the budget and remind his thirty-eight ministers that there is not a single one who today is capable of launching reforms.” angers the Renaissance deputy of Val-de-Marne Guillaume Gouffier-Valente.
The central block shows sawtooth-shaped support.
Since the appointment of Michel Barnier, the central bloc has shown different support for the Matignon tenant. Divided between their desire for stability after months of presidential errors and their indignation against the right-wing line of the government, whose main incarnation is the Minister of the Interior, Bruno Retailleau, the elected Macronists are preparing to turn their backs. “In the group, no one has in their soul the desire to overthrow Michel Barnier, but no one wants to support him.” My dear the Renaissance deputy for Yvelines Marie Lebec.
From now on, the freedom of vote that prevails among Macronists will allow everyone to disassociate themselves from the guidelines adopted at the end of the general policy declaration. On Saturday, the president of the MoDem group, Marc Fesneau, said nothing more before his thirty-six deputies gathered in Guidel (Morbihan). “We will no longer accept being vassals of anyone”he promised. The first majority seems to hope to find a space to exploit between the lack of trust in the government and its non-censorship. If it exists.
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