Peter Rough, director of the Center for Europe and Eurasia at the Hudson Institute, a conservative think tank located in Washington, analyzes the principles that will guide the Trump administration’s foreign policy actions. The researcher, committed to the right, defends in particular the position adopted by the president during his campaign.
Recently, Donald Trump declared that he could end the war in Ukraine “within twenty-four hours”; his running mate, JD Vance, for his part, analyzed the general lines of a possible agreement with Russia; The figures newly appointed to key positions in his administration appear to share the desire to “end this war.” For your part, you recently argued that a Ukrainian victory was essential to US security. Are you worried?
The national security team that is currently being configured reflects the great coalition that Donald Trump formed during his campaign: there are, in my opinion, nuances and differences in positioning between each of the announced profiles. For example, Marco Rubio. [nommé secrétaire d’Etat] and Tulsi Gabbard [nommée à la direction nationale du renseignement] They come from opposite backgrounds, as the latter comes from the Democratic Party. I hope that these various parties will vigorously debate Ukraine within the administration, before Trump makes a decision on how to proceed.
In any case, there will be no continuity with the policy followed by the Biden administration and its cautious and gradual approach to aid provided to Ukraine. The decision to accompany this aid with restrictions, such as a ban on the use of long-range missiles to disrupt supply chains in Russian territory, caused things to drag out, because the Ukrainians were never really given the means to win, without being abandoned. to certain defeat. It has also contributed, in the last two or three years, to pressuring the US domestic economy to finance aid programs to Ukraine, and this issue has become a hot political issue. So I don’t think the new administration will continue down this path.
Donald Trump has repeatedly indicated that he wants to negotiate with Moscow. I would take these statements seriously. The question will be whether he will find in Putin a partner open to negotiation. Maybe a deal can be reached, but if the Russians are difficult or resistant to any discussion, then I wouldn’t be surprised if Donald Trump stood by the Ukrainians and supported them vehemently.
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