Rafal Trzavsky, the current mayor of Warsaw and the candidate, supported by Donald Tuku, became the winner, with a very small advantage of the second round of the presidential election in Poland, held this Sunday, according to the first polls of the URN, published after the closure of the electoral colleges. If the official results confirm that IPSOS was predicted, Trzawski defeated the narrow edge (50.3%) by the nationalist historian Karol Navroki (49.7%), independent of the applicant, but supported by the law and justice (PIS), the ultra -conservative side, which has preserved the head of the state since 2015.
“We won,” Trzavsky said immediately after he found out the first polls from the urn, whose error is two points, so a technically official result can turn the turn.
The struggle for the Presidential Palace opened Tir after Trzawski’s hard victory in the first round on May 18, marked by good results of extreme law. Polls before this second turn led to very close competitions, almost a draw, which made it impossible to predict the result. The Polish National Electoral Commission hopes to get the final results in this Monday in the morning or the first hour of the day.
The winner will replace the current president Andrem Duba, an ally of PIS, the second term of which expires this summer – and who could not again appear in a second choice. It was Trzavsky who ran into doubt in the last presidential in 2020, which he lost in just two points.
This Sunday was an important appointment on voters in which two markedly different visions of the future Poland broke into a duel. On the one hand, Trzawski, a European desire, liberal and cosmopolitan wars, with a central program at hand. On the other hand, there are guesses from nationalist rhetoric and focused on traditional values that had the back of the Trump administration and came to the elections with the promise that Poland “again becomes a normal country.”
The presidents also became an unofficial referendum about Prime Minister Tusk, who conducted a campaign with a candidate for a civilian platform (PO) at a time when surveys show that many poles are disappointed with their leadership.
In Poland, the president has limited powers compared to other systems – he has some influence on foreign and defense policy – but he has the right to veto legislative initiatives, although they were approved by parliament, the prerogative, which he often used often. The Coalition of Tuska does not have enough parliamentary majority of the three fifths to cancel the presidential veto.
53 -year -year -old Trzavsky promised to put an end to difficult cohabitation and promote the reforms promised by Tuk, which arrived in the government, arousing high expectations and with a flag regarding the heritage of individual entrepreneurs on such issues as the right to abortion, seriously limited in the country. But the ability of the leader to fulfill these promises, partly the veto was difficult to get the president. Therefore, it is believed that the arrival of a candidate in the state platform in the headquarters of the state platform can help to facilitate things and accelerate its agenda, but internal differences in the eclectic government coalition are also considered a weight factor in the absence of compliance.
In order to be able to win in the second round, the mayor of Warsaw tried to maintain a complex and cautious balance: to seduce both supporters of the candidates for ultras, eliminated in the first round and disappointed and skeptical progressives with the TUSK government. Trzawski retained a hard tone in migration, but also made, for example, with liberalization of abortion.
If the triumph of the liberal candidate is confirmed, Poland says goodbye to the political era of Pi, in the cycle that began in 2023, with the arrival of Tusk to power after eight years of ultra -conservative governments, which became a headache for Brussels for its reduction against the rule of law.