Ukraine can begin to return its territories as early as 2025, and for this it only needs sufficient Western help. The operation in the Kursk region will allow Ukraine to gain time for the supply of weapons from its allies.
The Telegraph writes about this.
The invasion of the Kursk region also casts doubt on Russia’s ability to launch major offensive operations before the end of the year. Putin will now be forced to choose between ensuring the security of the Kursk region and continuing offensive operations in the Donbass, as he has few reserve units left that can withstand Ukrainian armored vehicles.
The advantage of Ukrainian troops in the region is that they do not have to defend Ukrainian territory, which means that kyiv can choose the optimal places to defend itself in the region, which will make a Russian counteroffensive extremely costly.
Border security provided Russia with the opportunity to send more troops to fight in the Donbass. Now the Russian military needs to somehow strengthen its entire border, which requires army reinforcements of tens of thousands of troops. In addition, the Kremlin will have to spend months replenishing personnel and replenishing supplies.
The Ukraine operation also introduces changes to Russian air operations. Russian helicopters were vulnerable to Ukrainian drones in Kursk, and Ukrainian drone attacks on airfields in western Russia limited the presence of aircraft. In addition, Russian operations will also be slowed by rainy autumn weather conditions.
The publication notes that all these factors will allow Ukraine to contain Russia and replenish its forces until spring 2025, and then go on the offensive to regain its territories. However, Western assistance is crucial for this.
Earlier, Kursor reported that Ukraine used its own missile drone on the front for the first time.
