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What are the chances of an Iranian retaliatory attack in the near future? – BBC

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What are the chances of an Iranian retaliatory attack in the near future? – BBC

Iranian retaliation following recent Israeli attacks remains a possibility, but Iranian leaders are carefully weighing the consequences of future actions.

The BBC reports this.

As international analysts point out, Tehran understands that each new escalation aggravates the situation, and Israel’s response in the event of a second attack will only be harsher.

According to BBC reports, Gulf countries, including Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, are concerned about possible involvement in the conflict due to the proximity of US bases and the US Fifth Fleet. Despite assurances that its territory will not become a springboard for attacks on Iran, recent events have reminded Saudi Arabia of missile strikes and an attack on the petrochemical sector in 2019, allegedly carried out with the participation of pro-Iran groups.

Since early October, Israel has openly declared its intention to respond to recent attacks on its territory, and the US government, according to the BBC, has advised Israel to limit attacks to military targets. But Washington and its allies remain nervous, fearing that diplomatic intervention will not deter Tehran from further retaliation.

At the same time, the Israeli army continues its offensive in the northern Gaza Strip, attracting international attention and condemnation from human rights organizations. As the BBC points out, analysts do not rule out that the timing of the attacks on Iran could have been chosen with the expectation of distracting the world media from the events in Gaza.

Iran’s leaders, despite official statements about minimal damage caused by Israeli missile strikes, are aware of the need to find a balance between a show of force and avoiding a full-scale conflict.

Tehran would prefer to limit itself to a minimal reaction to avoid even greater involvement in the escalation in the Middle East and maintain internal stability.

Previously, Kursor reported that Iran linked Israel’s retaliatory attack to the US election.

Iran named the targets of Israeli attacks on the country.

Source

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