¿What is the blue wall? (blue wallin English) and why it is so decisive for the victory of the American vice-president Kamala HarrisDemocratic candidate in her race for the White House? The blue wall is made up of Michigan (15 electoral votes), Wisconsin (10 electoral votes) and Pennsylvania (19 electoral votes), which are three of the undecided states (Swing States) of these presidential elections which are held on November 5. The key is its working class electoratewho is more convinced by the economic plan of former US President Donald Trump, Republican candidate. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris monopolizes the women’s votethe youth vote and the African-American vote.
These three states voted Democratic from 1992 to 2012. On the other hand, in 2016, Trump broke the aforementioned pattern, tearing away from the Democrats the backbone of what traditionally constituted their electorate: the working middle class. During these elections These are battleground states, after President Joe Biden won them back in 2020.In total, the undecided states, which hold the key to these elections, are, in addition to those mentioned, Arizona, Snowfall, Georgia And North Carolina.
Former US President Donald Trump and Kamala Harris need 270 electoral votes to win the elections. Everyone has different paths to the White House. Trump has more options because it is easier for him to add up the 270 electoral votes if you count the states he won and those in which he is ahead of Harris in the polls.. Trump, with the advantage of North Carolina (16 electoral votes), Arizona (11 electoral votes) and Georgia (16 electoral votes), plus those he obtained, only needs Pennsylvania. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris must add the 44 electoral votes of blue wall to win the elections.
The most important of the three states is Pennsylvania, which Trump won in 2016, as well as Wisconsin and Michigan against Hillary Clinton in 2016. Joe Biden, meanwhile, won them back in 2020. Candidate Kamala Harris spent a large portion of her campaign funds in Pennsylvania. Meanwhile, Trump invested in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia and Wisconsin. In total, the two campaigns spent $120 million in the seven swing states.
Wisconsin is the state of blue wallwhere Trump has the best chance of winning, which could be his key to the White House by being ahead in the other swing states (North Carolina, Arizona and Georgia). According to the average of the latest polls, Harris is ahead in all three states, but only by 0.7 tenths in Pennsylvania, one point in Wisconsin and 1.7 points in Michigan. All these margins are insufficient, because Trump is better accepted by the working class population of these states, to whom the policies of Harris’s ‘care economy’ fails to convinceAmong them, Trump’s speech on reducing inflation, imposing tariffs on China and investing in infrastructure had more impact.
States Harris won
Colorado (10 electoral votes).
Illinois (19).
New Jersey (14).
new York (28)
Oregon (8).
Maine District 1 (1).
Maine (2).
Minnesota (10).
New Mexico (5).
Virginia (13).
States that Trump secured
Florida (30 electoral votes).
Ohio (17).
Texas (40).
Maine District 2 (1).
Alaska (3).
Iowa (6).
Kansas (6).
Missouri (10).
Mountain (4).
South Carolina (9).
undecided states
Arizona (11). Trump is leading in the polls.
Georgia (16). Trump is leading in the polls.
Michigan (15). Kamala Harris has made minimal sales in opinion polls.
Snowfall (6). Kamala Harris is ahead, although it is not certain that Trump will lose this state.
North Carolina (16). Trump has outperformed Harris in this state in recent polls. However, the Democratic vice president is now ahead.
Pennsylvania (19). Pennsylvania is the most populous of the swing states. It has 19 Electoral College votes. It is the most important state in this presidential race. Harris is leading, according to the latest polls this Friday. The Harris-Walz campaign privately acknowledges that she could lose this state, which Biden narrowly won in 2020 and Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.
Wisconsin (10). Kamala Harris is leading in the polls. According to the latest polls, Trump is ahead of Harris in this state.
Some pollsters add to the seven Ns mentioned aboveNew Hampshire (4) And Nebraska District 2 (1) to the list of undecided.
