Donald Trump’s return to the US presidency is worrying in kyiv due to the likelihood of a reduction in US support.
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During their campaign, Trump and his ally JD Vance often expressed doubts about the wisdom of increased large-scale funding for Ukraine, pointing to the protracted nature of the war. Furthermore, Trump has openly stated that he is willing to encourage Ukraine to reach a difficult peace compromise with Russia.
Trump’s victory came at a difficult time for Ukraine. As Russian troops intensify their attack on eastern Donbass, Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Alexander Syrsky recognizes the need for a constant replenishment of Ukrainian reserves. Threats from other directions are also increasing: according to US intelligence, some 10,000 North Korean soldiers have arrived in Russia’s Kursk region and may be used in military operations against Ukraine.
The United States, under President Joe Biden, provided kyiv with significant financial and military assistance, which was planned to continue until the end of his term. However, Trump has repeatedly spoken out in favor of reconsidering the approach to supporting Ukraine, arguing that the country’s domestic interests should remain a priority. During the August debate, he abandoned his clear support for a Ukrainian victory and in September suggested that kyiv should concede “a little” to Moscow to achieve peace.
In a meeting with Vladimir Zelensky in New York, Trump emphasized the importance of a “mutually beneficial agreement” and said that if he wins, he will quickly resolve the conflict. Zelensky, in congratulating Trump on his election, expressed hope for greater US support and emphasized the importance of bipartisan consensus on assistance to Ukraine.
For Ukraine, a diplomatic solution to the conflict is only possible from a position of strength. Zelensky acknowledges that the position of the next American president could have a significant impact on the course of the war. In anticipation of possible changes, NATO and US allies are trying to shore up support for kyiv by launching a mission to coordinate the delivery of military aid. Biden has pledged $20 billion to Ukraine, some of which comes from frozen Russian assets, in a bid to provide long-term support to Ukrainian defense.
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