When on Sunday the first polls at the urn, they pointed out a very scarce land to defeat his liberal opponent, Karol Navroki called “not to lose hope” and promised that it would be the “new president” of Poland. A few hours later, in radical changes, the candidate supported by the Ultra -right and the Justice Party (PIS), turned democopic assessments and took on the initiative. This Monday, the Poles woke up with their triumph in the presidential election.
The historian of nationalist rhetoric, criticism in the EU and focused on traditional values won a duel with the mayor of Warsaw, Rafal Trzavsky, a candidate in Europe and ally of Prime Minister Donald Tusk. A very equal face to the face, who leaves the image of the country in two and puts against strings to the stupid, whose arrival in the government noted the beginning, theoretically, about the return of Warsaw to European catches after many years of ultra -conservative leaders, who became a headache for Brussels for its continuing rule.
Now that the Navoroks, who was present as an independent candidate, but supports PIS, Ultra -right retains the presidential palace, occupied by Andzha doubts from 2015, and the narrative of the European return of Poland is questioned.
The historian presented himself in the elections with the promise that Poland “is again a normal country.” On the same Sunday, he promised to “restore” the country that described as “broken”, the country ”without illegal and safe immigrants under the slogan“ Poles at first ”. Nawrocki opens against the green agreement of Brussels and the already policy that protect the rights of the collective and abortion of LGBTIC+ have taken on the obligation to ensure “life from conception to natural death.”
In foreign policy, he retains a skeptical position regarding the integration of Ukraine into the EU and NATO and distributes a strategic union with the United States, especially under Donald Trump, whom he is a fan, and whose government made it clear that he was his favorite in the appointment of voters. “This should be the next president,” said the US National Security Minister Christie Nuem at a political conference on conservative actions (CPAC), at the ultra summit, which was held in the east of Poland, and the one that some followers were present with restrictions in which “make Great Poland again”.
He has been married with children, Navroki 42 years old, and from the port city of Gdansk, where he led the Museum of World War II for several years. He also has a trajectory related to the National Institute of Memory, which became known for promoting nationalist versions of Polish history. Russia included it in its list of people who were looking for the dismantling of monuments in the Red Army, according to various information.
For Peter Makiy Kachinsky, an expert in the EU, his passage through the National Institute of Memory indicates that, most likely, “direct international problems through a historical prism, especially with Ukraine, Germany and the United States,” he explains this environment. “This is very skeptical of a certain EU policy, such as the Green Pact and the Migration Pact. It is very likely that the government will resign unilaterally of these laws. ”
Scandal after the scandal
Without political experience, Nastyok was a boxer, the ability that he likes to demonstrate in order to grow an image of a hard type. Although at first this was perceived as a more moderate option than other candidates for justice, their public ascent was marked by journalistic revelations of the series Scandals Associated with his past, which, it seems, did not affect his presidential career.
His alleged connections with the world of the underworld and violent ultras are circles of football clubs and even neo -nasi were discovered. In fact, it turned out that in 2009 he participated in the struggle Hooligans And Navroki did not repent, suggested that in his life he participated in “noble and male forms.” The Polish news portal recently said that he helped to receive prostitutes for a luxurious hotel, where he worked as a guard, which he denied an ultra -conservative candidate.
The press also showed that Navroki had an apartment that he did not include in his statement about the goods and belonged to the old man who now lives in the state residence.
“The problem with the Nastyk is his criminal past, his associations with organized crime, his lack of personal honesty and his sponge status,” says Eldiaca Jacket Kucharchik, director of the Poland Institute of Public Affairs. “Nevertheless, their voters exclude information about their biography (which, presumably, includes Pimperism and fraud to the old man in order to preserve their apartment) and perceive it as an anti -system, Polish nationalism and Catholicism -church very actively helped his candidacy for the presidency.”
In March, he was mocked when it became known that in 2018 he appeared in a television program with a pseudonym – Tadeusz BCYR – disguised and blurry to promote the book that he wrote and the same age. “This historian (Karol Navrokki) very inspired me … He was the first person who studied organized crime in communist Poland,” said the blurry man.
A proper to support the conservative electorate and rural Poland, by Navroki reached the second round of elections in a favorable position for good results of other extreme right -wing candidates that were eliminated in the first round – according to IPS, almost all of these applicants went to the candidate for PIS. According to surveys, the men leaned over him more (while women are more likely to vote for their opponent), and also voted in younger age groups.
“Navroki won from the first round support for most of the right electorate and the extreme right. Trzavsky failed Similar center European Foreign Council (ECFR) in Warsaw. “In the last weeks of the campaign, Trzavsky focused on attacks on Navroki from the revelations about his dubious past, which seriously undermined his confidence in the presidential candidate. However, he did not dissuade the correct voters and opponents of the government to vote for Navroki (“Trumpian effect”), although not mobile mobile liberals (without efficiency ”.
Tough test for fluff
The President -withdrawn a campaign against what he calls Donald Tusk’s “power of power”, representing the presidents at an unofficial referendum about the prime minister at a time when Polls show that many poles are disappointed with their leadershipThe field now his triumph can ultimately conduct a political project of the Prime Minister of Poland.
In Poland, the president has limited powers compared to other systems – he has some influence on foreign and defense policies – but he has the right to veto legislative initiatives, although they were approved by parliament, a prerogative that was often used. The TUSK coalition does not have a sufficient parliamentary majority of the three fifths to cancel the presidential veto, which made it difficult to cohabit with the head of state.
Tusk arrived in the government in 2023, awakening big expectations, is obliged to cancel the heritage of IP on issues such as abortion strictly limited in the country. But the ability of the leader to fulfill these promises partly prevented the power of the veto of the ultra -conservative president – the internal differences in the coalition of the eclectic government coalition were also a weight factor.
From Navroki, the government may expect that the resistance of the Presidential Palace will remain in the remaining legislative body, which makes it difficult, if not impossible, that the government approves of great reforms, in particular, due to the return of the politicization of the PIS judicial system.
“The most anticipated issues are related to the rule of law, including the reform of the deformed judicial system – and the deep separation through which society is experiencing,” says Piot Make Kachins. “The President of Navoroki also has no political position, therefore, most likely, he completely depends on the support that pi gives him (law and justice). Most likely, he is simply the performer of the will of the old leader PIS, Yaroslav Kachinsky, ”the analyst adds. A gaiter is the opinion of the ECFR expert, who believes that he is unlikely to play an independent role, in addition to supporting PI as the main opposition party. “Their political opinions are much more radical and right than Andrem’s doubts, which makes a cohabiting enterprise with the government more difficult than in the last one and a half.”
Experts believe that the arrival of NAVOKS can even cause the collapse of the coalition of the Tusk and pave the way to promote the legislative elections. “It is unlikely that the government, which cannot move forward, survives another two and a half years,” says Buraz.
There are those who support, in fact, that this may be an omen of the return of Pi to the government.
“From a political point of view, these elections put an end to the dream that Donald Tusk once had to restore democracy in Poland. According to Tusk itself, Poland is “democracy in the struggle”, and now we will witness a new chapter about what this struggle will be, ”concludes Pyot Makei Kchinsky.