The 2024 US presidential elections have already begun and the main contenders for the position are Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. The voting results will be announced later, but research using artificial intelligence (AI) has already made a prediction about who could become the next president.
This is reported by Semafor.
Young entrepreneurs, confident that their AI chatbots could more accurately model human behavior, decided to test their model in the 2024 elections. The two students who founded Aaru are using census data and other demographic information to develop thousands of avatars of voters using artificial intelligence.
Each avatar has hundreds of personality characteristics, allowing it to effectively imitate real people. The agents, which are robots, obtain data from news and other sources that voters might be interested in and then ask them questions about preferences, such as who they plan to vote for.
Fink and Koch say their tests demonstrate the high accuracy of their system, which is significantly more cost-effective and faster than traditional survey methods. They created representative robots to recreate the electorate in key states, with agents reaching thousands in each, and conducted preference surveys.
The models had access to the news until midnight on Sunday, allowing them to learn about Donald Trump’s rallies in Pennsylvania and Kamala Harris in Michigan. In several simulations, they estimated Donald Trump’s chances of victory: 73.3% in Arizona, 62.1% in North Carolina and 61.8% in Georgia.
At the same time, Kamala Harris has a 63.3% chance of winning in Michigan, 53.4% in Nevada, 52.4% in Pennsylvania and 50.9% in Wisconsin. If the election had been conducted entirely by robots, the vote would have been close, with Kamala Harris winning by a narrow margin.
Previously, “Cursor” wrote that on November 5, elections will be held in the United States, in which the 47th president of the country will be elected. This race includes Democratic Representative Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump. Large media companies traditionally play a key role in covering US elections, based on their own calculations, exit polls and various forecasts.
