He Former US President Donald TrumpRepublican candidate surpasses Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic candidate, with a group of voters with whom the Democratic Party has lost ground: the middle class. Why don’t you vote Democrat anymore? Why have older voters and those without college education, who make up a large part of the electorate, also abandoned the Democrats within this group? Growing globalization, technological advances And the relocation of many blue-collar jobs led this part of the electorate to vote for Republican Donald Trump. They feel abandoned by the Democrats. Meanwhile, Joe Biden’s proposals aimed at the youth vote, such as canceling student debt, have alienated these voters from the Democrats.
Middle Class Abandons Democrats
THE Democrats began losing the working class when Richard Nixon adopted his “Southern Strategy” in 1968, a message designed to appeal to working-class white voters in the North and South. Instead, it was Trump who managed to improve his presence among the working-class African-American and Latino vote, which joined the vote of uneducated white men.
From 1990 to 2024, Democrats lost 17 percentage points in polls when voters were asked who best represents the interests of the middle class.Previously, 48% of respondents thought of the Democratic Party, today only 31%. They are virtually tied with the Republicans. The drop is more pronounced when asked whether they believe Democrats are dealing with the classroom with few resources: they drop from 66% to 44% of respondents.
Economy, the most important thing
Democrats have bragged nationally about the economy’s strong performance: Stock markets are doing wellunemployment remains at low levels and there are no more fears of recession. On the other hand, the American middle class, and within this group voters over 65 and those without a college education, do not perceive these improvements, due to inflation, key to understanding the shift from the Democratic average to the Republican average. . The Inflation has taken its toll on small businessesin terms of housing and middle-class living standards in the United States, where voters over 65 and non-college voters form a very solid group that prefers Donald Trump.
Harrisin comparison, you still have to work and build your coalitionwho had been impacted by Joe Biden’s candidacy. To defeat Trump on November 5, she will need strong support from female and African-American voters, as well as other key demographics, such as young people and Hispanic voters. In an election that depends on massive grassroots participationHarris will have to believe that her support among Minority groups overcome Trump base fervor.
