“Recently, although there has been some progress in the peace talks between Armenia and Azerbaijan and several optimistic statements have been made, the probability of signing a peace agreement before COP29 is low.”
This Oku.Azpolitical commentator in his statement Sahil Karimli saying.
According to him, there are a few days left before COP29, but it seems impossible for Armenia to meet Azerbaijan’s legitimate demands and give a positive response:
“First of all, Azerbaijan makes fair and just demands on the amendment of the Constitution of Armenia. This is due to the fact that Armenia makes territorial claims against Azerbaijan and Turkey in its constitution, which is unacceptable. If there are such claims, we are stable, fair and we cannot talk about long-term peace.
“At the same time, accelerating the process of delimitation and demarcation of borders and opening transport and communication lines in the region are also among Azerbaijan’s legitimate demands. Armenia does not seem to have the intention to comply with these demands. In such a case, Of course, Armenia continues to hold back Azerbaijan’s aspirations for long-term peace and security in the South Caucasus, so signing a peace agreement does not seem realistic,” our interviewer added.
General Director of the Khazar Strategic Research Institute, Russian expert Igor Korotchenko while Oku.Azsaid in a statement that we can only talk about the signing of a peace treaty between Armenia and Azerbaijan when this treaty is actually signed:
“However, Yerevan’s position is to allow Azerbaijan to accept an incomplete agreement on the most important issues of principle. Will Azerbaijan sign such an incomplete agreement? I think not.”
He said Baku’s position is that all clauses of the agreement must be fully and unequivocally agreed and must be based on the five fundamental principles proposed at that time:
“And Armenia is building solely on what has been done so far. While this will satisfy Armenia and its backers in the West, it will not satisfy Azerbaijan.”
“As for the signing of this agreement within the framework of the COP29 climate summit or before it, here too everything depends on the extent to which Armenia agrees with all the points proposed by Azerbaijan. At the moment we are trying to put pressure on Western countries, especially Azerbaijan, to conclude a peace agreement with Armenia as soon as possible. We see pressure from the administration of President Joseph Biden. But I repeat, in our opinion, regardless of who exerts pressure, Azerbaijan will act accordingly. with its national interests. In this sense, Pashinian’s arrival at COP29 is blackmail for Azerbaijan to sign the incomplete peace agreement or it will fail as an attempt to pressure,” the expert emphasized.
According to him, Armenia, together with France, the Netherlands and other European countries, as well as its partners in North America, are trying to create maximum negative information around COP29:
“However, Azerbaijan is not a country that can be blackmailed. If Pashinyan does not come to Baku, nothing terrible will happen. If he does, he is obliged to sign the peace agreement on the conditions offered by Azerbaijan. Because the Azerbaijan’s offer is fair, “It is based on fundamental principles and has long-term stability.”
“In any case, there is still some time left, but it is unlikely that Pashinyan will suddenly wake up a few days before the start of COP29 and agree with his team on the unresolved issues. Therefore, it is necessary to act on a real policy Azerbaijan is a strong and effective country for the security of the entire South Caucasus “I think this is a reality that no one can change,” Korotchenko concluded.
political commentator Mohammad Asadullazadeh He said that the text of the peace treaty between Azerbaijan and Armenia is almost ready:
“The technical issues are agreed. The bilateral meeting held in Kazan was very fruitful and created good opportunities for peace. The letter of support from US President Joseph Biden and the neutrality of Russia stimulated the development of bilateral negotiations in a positive direction. Negotiations took place in Kazan for more than two hours Foreign Ministers conclude the full text The statute and regulations on border delimitation and demarcation were approved by both sides.
“However, COP29 is not far away. I believe that a peace agreement can be signed. But this process cannot take place immediately, but at the end of the year. The peace agreement will establish interstate diplomatic relations, mutual recognition of the integrity territorial “The mutual opening of transport and communication routes, in the future, is based on the main theses of not attacking each other,” Asadullazade stated.
According to him, Armenia will participate in COP29:
“Even the participation of Foreign Minister Ararat Mirzoyan is possible. However, Armenia is calling for the release of Armenian saboteurs on the eve of COP29. Issues like this create a problem. I believe that this time Azerbaijan will take possible measures to strengthen mutual trust and peace.”
Merahim Nasib
