The Vice President of the United States Kamala Harris, Democratic candidate for the White House, maintains two points ahead of the former President of the United States Donald Trump, Republican candidate, according to the poll average published this Friday, which reflect the general sentiment of voters in the United States. 38 days before the November 5 electionsHarris would win 49.1% of the electorate’s favor, while Trump would remain at 47.1% nationally, according to the overall polling average. Democrats remain worried because electoral voting and the system winner takes all (vote winner wins statewide) benefit the republicans. Can we repeat what happened in 2016, when Hillary Clinton lost the White House, despite winning the popular vote, and Donald Trump won?
Democrats know they can’t claim victory: They need a 3% lead in the polls, which Kamala Harris doesn’t have. Therefore, if Harris does not take off, Trump can win the White House, as happened in 2016, when he defeated Hillary Clinton, despite the fact that the Democrat surpassed him by 2.8 million votes . THE the key this year is Pennsylvaniawhere Trump would win, according to the latest internal Democratic Party polls. According to the latest polls, Trump is leading on nine of the ten major campaign issues that matter most to voters, including the economy.
Donald Trump is leading in the average of some polls in recent days in swing states (Swing States), Arizona, Snowfall, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin And Michigan, which are the most important, because the rest is already decided in favor of the candidates. Meanwhile, in the latest polls, Trump and Harris are tied.
38 days before the presidential electionspolls don’t provide much additional information about what might happen on Election Day. In the greatest and most important undecided state, Pennsylvaniain all three polls released this week, Susquehanna, Muhlenberg College and Rasmussen Reports, the race is tied. In others, Trump is ahead.
Harris must win the famous mandatory blue wall (blue wall), Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, traditionally Democratic strongholds, which in these elections are Swing States (undecided states), after Trump ousted them in 2016. Meanwhile, Trump, on the other hand, has more room because he can play with more combinations. He has North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona secure, he can win Wisconsin, where the latest polls show Trump winning, and he can win Pennsylvania, a traditional Democratic stronghold, which the former president of the United States transformed into an undecided state in 2016, as has been reported. Democrats don’t trust polls showing Kamala Harris ahead in Wisconsinwhere voters need a concrete economic plan, which Kamala Harris does not have.
In Georgia, Trump strengthens his advantage: A CBS News poll shows him winning by two points, while a Marist poll shows him winning by one point and a Rasmussen study gives Trump a three-point lead. In North Carolina, Trump leads by 0.6 points in the average poll. Meanwhile, in Arizona, Trump is also leading in the polling average.
States Harris Got
Colorado (10 electoral votes).
Illinois (19).
New Jersey (14).
new York (28)
Oregon (8).
Maine District 1 (1).
Maine (2).
Minnesota (10).
New Mexico (5).
Virginia (13).
States that Trump secured
Florida (30 electoral votes).
Ohio (17).
Texas (40).
Maine District 2 (1).
Alaska (3).
Iowa (6).
Kansas (6).
Missouri (10).
Mountain (4).
South Carolina (9).
undecided states
Arizona (11). Trump is leading in the polls.
Georgia (16). Trump is leading in the polls.
Michigan (15). Kamala Harris has had minimal sales in opinion polls.
Snowfall (6). Kamala Harris is ahead, although it is not certain that Trump will lose this state.
North Carolina (16). Trump has overtaken Harris in the state in the latest polls, in which the Democratic vice president now leads.
Pennsylvania (19). The state of Pennsylvania is the most populated of the undecided. He has 19 votes in the Electoral College. It is the most important state in this presidential race. Harris is in the lead, according to the latest polls this Friday. The Harris-Walz campaign privately acknowledges that it could lose the state, which Biden narrowly won in 2020 and Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.
Wisconsin (10). Kamala Harris is leading in the polls. According to Democrats’ latest internal polls, Trump is outperforming Harris in the state, which would give him victory without needing Pennsylvania.
Some pollsters add to the previously mentioned seven New Hampshire (4) and Nebraska District 2 (1) to the list of undecided.
