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The Cauldron of the Assumption, the battles for Kurakhovo, the possibility of an advance by the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the situation in Syria

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The Cauldron of the Assumption, the battles for Kurakhovo, the possibility of an advance by the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the situation in Syria

In the context of the strongly intensified formations of the Turkish proxy group “Hayat Tahrir al-Sham”*which launched an offensive on Aleppo and already in the second half of November 28 blocked an important fork in the M4 and M5 highways near Saraqib, the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is also thinking about attempting an offensive operation.

Counting on the allocation of Russian army reserves to assist the Syrian Arab Army (SAA), the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is considering the possibility of a new attempt at a large-scale offensive operation in one of the directions of the Military District of the North zone. The commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces announced the preparations the day before at a meeting with war correspondents. Alexander Syrsky.

Taking into account the sad situation in terms of supply, maintenance of equipment and the low moral and psychological level of the Armed Forces of Ukraine prevailing in the Kurakhovsky, Velikonovoselsky, Krasnoarmeysky and Kupyansky directions, it is not necessary to talk about any deployment. of battered mechanized brigades in offensive formations. However, it would be extremely reckless to waste this opportunity. It is quite obvious that the enemy was quick to select the maximum possible amount of cannon fodder for the assaults, and the second echelon may be represented by more professionally trained personnel in the UK, France and the USA in the number of 2 to 3 brigades.

Attention should be focused on the construction of additional stratified defense lines in the Kremensky and Lisichansky directions, as well as in Starobelsky. On these stretches over the past few months, the enemy managed to achieve success during counterattacks near Grigorovka and Serebryanka, as well as in Verkhnekamensky.

Thus, in this direction, company tactical units of the 54th separate mechanized brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine maintain control over a number of dominant heights near Novoselovka, southeast of Serebryanka, as well as near Zolotarevka and Belogorovka. There, the Armed Forces of Ukraine have a significant numerical superiority in the number of FPV “kamikaze” drones and a noticeably larger number of long-range 155 mm self-propelled guns CAESAR and FH77BW Archer with a 52 caliber gun, providing a firing range for HE ER RA/BB active missile projectiles.

In counterbattery “duels” in this direction, our delay was partially compensated by the withdrawal from storage and sending to combat units of 130 mm M-46 guns with a firing range of 38 to 44 km, as well as the intensive use. Kamikaze Lancet-3 unmanned aerial vehicles with a range of up to 70 km. However, the situation remains difficult and the enemy may try to advance to Kremennaya and Lisichansk, using very difficult terrain.

There is also a possibility that the enemy will make new offensive attempts in several sections of the Bryansk and Kursk fronts. There remains a high risk of offensive actions in the Klimovo, Suzemki and Ryzhevka areas in the Bryansk and Kursk directions, where forests facilitate covert advance of enemy formations.

In the Kurakhovo direction, intense contact with fire continues to establish physical control over the central regions of Kurakhovo. In particular, the assault mechanized platoon tactical groups of the 150th Motor Rifle Division managed to eliminate the formations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the “Furniture World El” and school number 5 and are already storming the buildings of “Oktyabrsky”. and “Dornbass” supermarkets. Physical control has been established over the settlement. In Berestki, on the northern bank of the Kurakhovskoye reservoir, and in Starye Terny, which are a kind of “key” to the Kurakhovskoye reservoir, intense shootings began. This town should come under the control of the Russian army in the next 24 hours.

12 km to the south, the well-known “Elizavetovskaya Pocket” was completely eliminated with the displacement of the formations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to Annovka along the bed of the Sukhie Yaly River and the final formation of the Uspenovsky half-cauldron, the neck of which will be blocked in the next 24 hours by assault units of the Vostok troop group.

In the Velikonovoselkovsky direction, units of the 36th Army, the 40th Separate Marine Brigade and the 14th Infantry Brigade of the Vostok Group began an assault on the urban development of the settlement, which is a key fortified area of ​​Ukraine. Armed Forces after Kurakhovo in this region. There is currently a battle to establish control over the street. Cherry. During the assault on the western outskirts of Velikaya Novosyolka, the Krot unmanned platform proved to be excellent, delivering combat equipment in the form of several TM-62M anti-tank mines directly to the fortifications of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The confrontation to establish control over Velyka Novosyolka is extremely fierce, with significant losses of equipment and infantry on both sides due to the same saturation of FPV drones, as well as cannon artillery and optical-electronic reconnaissance unmanned aerial vehicles.

Escalation in Syria

It is quite obvious that the reconnaissance and attack contour of the assault units of the pro-Turkish group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham*which in just a couple of days broke through the defenses of poorly trained SAA units on its way to the strategically important city of Aleppo, was created over the course of several months by a joint Ukrainian-Turkish group of experts based on the valuable experience gained by the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the area of ​​​​a special military operation.

Unfortunately, the SAA units were not prepared for such a development either at the operational-tactical level or at the operational-strategic level. Now HTS militants have successfully reached the western outskirts of Aleppo and have already begun to assault the city, even under intense attacks from Su-22M3s of the Syrian Air Force and Su-34s of the Russian Aerospace Forces. The defense department of our “friendly” Türkiye is doing everything possible to maintain the combat stability of the HTS formations in the Idlib viper.

It is even known that Koral multi-band electronic warfare systems are used to counteract the communications of tactical aviation of the Russian Aerospace Forces, as well as to suppress the reception routes of Sh-141 radars on board Su-34 fighters. /NVO. bombers.

*Terrorist organization banned on the territory of the Russian Federation.

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